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stormtiger
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 73
Loc: Baton Rouge, La.
Gray is out only 2 Oct sotms
      #73924 - Tue Oct 03 2006 12:07 PM

and he predicts no majors. Good news if it holds up.

2004 and 2005 hopefully will not be the norm, but the exceptions. 2006 was overhyped and fortunately ho hum. Let's hope this continues and the storms keep spinning fish.

Thanks to the board owners, board admins for all you do. I owe you guys a contribution. My bad.

Thanks to all the key players here. Ed, Clark, HF, John and mike and everyone else. I hope Clark keep sclimbing the ladder and the ladder gets easier. I hear more money may be spent by the Feds for hurricane research. This is good.

Thxs too to 007, Scott, Cied, and all you other aspiring gurus. You guys make this the best site out there by far.

I miss Steve from Metairie and Frank P from Biloxi. I hope they are OK. Katrina took them off the internet and I really miss their posts. I hope they are fine.

I'm headed to Gainesville Friday for the big game. I will be in my purple and gold. I hope you floridians treat me well and if you see a middle age cajun looking at the tropical update on TWC, buy me a beer and introduce yourself.

I hope everyone has a good Winter and next Spring we have some fish spinners to watch.

cooltiger

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Ed in Va
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 489
Loc:
Re: Gray is out only 2 Oct sotms [Re: stormtiger]
      #73925 - Tue Oct 03 2006 02:50 PM

From the afternoon HPC, there will be a low off the mid-Atlantic coast by late week. No mention of tropical, but the graphs show a system retrgogading to the coast. What does everyone make of this?

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/medr/medr.shtml#final

A bit more from the Wakefield Va NWS discussion:

THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY...COLD FRONT ENTERS INTO THE GULF
STREAM SOUTH OF THE CAROLINAS. ALL MEDIUM-RANGE GUIDANCE INDICATE A
CLOSED UPPER LOW DEVELOPING OVER THE MID ATLANTIC STATES THIS
WEEKEND. AN ASSOCIATED SFC LOW WILL LIKELY DEVELOP...THOUGH THERE IS
STILL PLENTY OF UNCERTAINTY AS TO THE MAGNITUDE AND POSITION OF ITS
DEEPENING. HENCE...TRENDED POPS UP FROM PREVIOUS FCST...THOUGH NOT
AS HIGH AS HPC. THE CLOSER TO THE COAST THE LOW DEVELOPS...THE
WETTER AND CLOUDIER IT WILL BE. IF THE LOW DEVELOPS JUST A LITTLE
FURTHER OFFSHORE...WEATHER WILL FAIR AND WARMER...WITH NWLY FLOW AND
SUBSIDENCE. MEANWHILE...GUIDANCE STILL HAS A STRONG SFC HIGH
PRESSURE SYSTEM TRACKING THROUGH UPSTATE NY...AND OFF THE NEW
ENGLAND COAST. THE SET UP COULD BE SOME STRONG NELY WINDS SAT AND
SUN (SEE MARINE DISCUSSION BELOW). TEMPS ALSO MORE CONTINGENT ON
POSITION OF LOW...WITH AT OR SLIGHTLY BELOW NORMAL TEMPS EXPECTED.
AGAIN ONLY TRENDED TOWARD HPC GUIDANCE FOR TEMPS.


--------------------
Survived Carol and Edna '54 in Maine. Guess this kind of dates me!

Edited by Ed in Va (Tue Oct 03 2006 03:23 PM)

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