Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


The 2024 season is officially over after a brutal number of landfals, a stunning rampup in the back-half and a record-early Cat 5.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 54 (Milton) , Major: 54 (Milton) Florida - Any: 54 (Milton) Major: 54 (Milton)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

Archives 2010s >> 2013 Forecast Lounge
Previous topic Previous   View all topics Index   Next topic Next   Threaded Mode Threaded  

Pages: 1
Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Invest 98L Forecast Lounge
      #94888 - Sun Oct 06 2013 11:08 PM

Invest 98L in the far east Atlantic has a chance for slow development over the next few days. The GFS moves the system toward the west - just to the south of a zone of westerly windshear. This is the place for your thoughts on the long range track and development (if any) of this system.
ED

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #94891 - Fri Oct 11 2013 12:36 AM

Invest 98L is not as well organized as it was 24 hours ago. The system is moving toward a large area of strong southwesterly windshear and I'd expect that development chances should begin to decline.
ED

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
vpbob21
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 115
Loc: Ohio
Re: Invest 98L Forecast Lounge [Re: Ed Dunham]
      #94892 - Fri Oct 11 2013 06:21 PM

I have thought all along that the NHC's odds of development (40-50%) were probably overly generous, but I have to say that 98L looks a lot better this afternoon than it has in a while. Deep convection has really increased and the circulation seems to be getting better defined. With all the shear and dry air ahead of it, along with the general unfavorable phase of the MJO, I'm still not convinced it's going to do anything. But I suppose if it can move slowly enough to stay behind the shear zone, it could have a chance. It will be interesting to see if the odds come up at 8:00 tonight.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1


Previous topic Previous   View all topics Index   Next topic Next   Threaded Mode Threaded  

Extra information
0 registered and 4 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Topic views: 3621

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center