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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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danielwAdministrator
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Re: Ivan Update [Re: Wxwatcher2]
      #25253 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:09 AM

They are holding it for some reason. If TWC had it 10 minutes ago it should be out by now.

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Colleen A.
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Can My Nerves Get More Frayed??? [Re: Wxwatcher2]
      #25254 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:10 AM

As if dealing with the whens/where/ifs/buts/ands/ors of these last 3 storms wasn't enough to make me a little "tense", this just happened.

I was sitting here typing that last post and I kept hearing this "thump bump" noise coming from the garage. I have a golden retreiver who loves the garage, so I figured it was her thumping her tail. I went to open the door to the garage and as I opened it, I came face to face with the biggest doggone frog I've ever seen in my life! It must have been a value-meal size bullfrog. I was so scared (I hate frogs) that I couldn't even move. Then he jumped towards me, I jumped back and smacked my head on the side of the door, nearly knocking myself unconscious in the process. I slammed the door shut and locked it (like the frog could open the door or something) and made a beeline to the lanai to get a broom that I had used to sweep the pool area. Well, guess what? There were TWO MORE FROGS out THERE! Not nearly as big, though. I got so mad that I took the broom and knocked the living warts outta them.
This, of course, is not directly related to Ivan, but I do believe that these .... things...are seeking higher ground either because of Frances or the flooding we've had or maybe they're evacuating because of Ivan. I've never seen a frog that big EVER! The other night it was a big black snake slithering out of the garage. Ugh.

Dr. Steve Lyons just did a great segment on TWC. He showed how that even if the storm just stays off the coast, it will still have a huge impact. I also noticed that if Ivan does skirt close to the coastline, Tampa Bay juts out to the west more than any other area in Florida.

I just heard that thump again.

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john03
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Re: Ivan Update [Re: Unregistered User]
      #25255 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:11 AM

2am adv.... has est.... prss....
recon must of just came in....anyone seen vortex?

there should be a another adv... now .....


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DroopGB31
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Re: Ivan Update [Re: Wxwatcher2]
      #25256 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:11 AM

Dont trick us like that! lol you had me going for a second, I was about to freak out. Where has everyone gotten this vortex because it isnt on the NHC site. Need proof. Im bout to have a heart attack!

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Wxwatcher2
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Re: Can My Nerves Get More Frayed??? [Re: Colleen A.]
      #25257 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:13 AM

Colleen, you're too funny !!
Careful, one of those frogs may be a prince in disguise !!!

"wish I could sleep but Ivan is keeping me up"


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BabyCat
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Re: Ivan Update [Re: DroopGB31]
      #25258 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:14 AM

I couldn't find it on the recon site...

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HCW
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Re: Ivan Update [Re: BabyCat]
      #25259 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:15 AM

So was it a hoax ?

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danielwAdministrator
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Re: Can My Nerves Get More Frayed??? [Re: Colleen A.]
      #25260 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:17 AM

Good point Colleen. Things are far from normal where the critters normally live. So they are appearing in places you don't expect to find them. Watch out for snakes and other unusual animals.

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BabyCat
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Re: Ivan Update [Re: HCW]
      #25261 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:17 AM

dunno
can't find it anywhere


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bsnyder
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Re: Ivan Update [Re: john03]
      #25262 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:17 AM

Colleen, what did Steve Lyons say about the impact, if it just skirts the coast? Did he mention any storm surge heights for Tampa Bay?

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Clark
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Re: Ivan Update [Re: HCW]
      #25263 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:17 AM

It just may not be publicly available yet. There is a lag time usually associated with the dissemination of these reports; oftentimes, TWC can have it a bit before the general public. And, those advisories are often created a bit before they are actually released. With a longer flight time en route to the storm for this recon flight, they may not have been able to wait on the recon fix. We'll know more within the half-hour.

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jth
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Re: Ivan Update [Re: BabyCat]
      #25264 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:19 AM

not a hoax. TWC did say that. 905mb and ridiculous flight level winds. in the 215 MPH range.

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danielwAdministrator
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Re: Ivan Update [Re: HCW]
      #25265 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:19 AM

I just posted what Dave at the Weather Channel was reading-word for word. Well, except for his rambling. I'll post the Vortex as soon as I get it. The other report have been running about 8 minutes delay.

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mikeG
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Re: Ivan Update [Re: HCW]
      #25266 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:19 AM

if recon did.... notice last report i saw is over 50mins old..... they should of done vortex 20mins ago.....seems it could be true.... just that the 2am should of been held.... just seems funny winds went from 155 to 190? less than 30mins...

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jth
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Re: Ivan Update [Re: danielw]
      #25267 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:20 AM

can someone post a link to the Sat picks when they come back.

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Londovir
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Re: Ivan Update [Re: DroopGB31]
      #25268 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:20 AM Attachment (257 downloads)

I'll post this attachment again. It's a basic Vortex Recon Decoder I've whipped up (for Frances, go figure I'd still need it). It tries to translate the basic Recon report into plain English for us regular peoples. Here's the basics for how to use it:

Save the attachment as a .HTML file. (Such as decode.html).
Open the file with your regular web browser.
Click the link above the box on the page to load the most recent Vortex Recon report.
Copy and paste the full recon report from that page into the box.
Click the Decode button.

I'm working on more improvements as we speak, but for now can help. Keep in mind my decoder ignores the overall max winds reported in the vortex report, and only decodes what the flight level inbound data line says. I'm working on it, and hopefully will get an easier one out the door soon. (Trying to streamline it to allow for supplemental decodes and all as well....)

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Colleen A.
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Re: Ivan Update [Re: DroopGB31]
      #25269 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:20 AM

I don't think that was a trick...I just read the advisory, and they did say "estimated" pressure. Maybe that's why Dave S. had such a dumbfounded look on his face when I tuned in to TWC. I missed his announcement. Or maybe he looks like that all the time.

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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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Storm Cooper
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Re: Ivan Update [Re: jth]
      #25270 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:21 AM

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/satellite.shtml

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goes.html

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Hurricane Season 2017 13/7/1


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Chrissy in PA
Unregistered




Re: Ivan Likely to Landfall in Jamaica Overnight as a Category 5 Hurricane [Re: MikeC]
      #25271 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:23 AM

All I want to say is I am praying for everyone who is in the path of Ivan. I send my every prayer that everyone is safe. God bless you all!

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mikeG
Unregistered




Re: ivan [Re: Chrissy in PA]
      #25272 - Sat Sep 11 2004 02:25 AM

twc must of got an email from warren...... wonder if he is on the flight LoL

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