Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 21 (Milton) , Major: 21 (Milton) Florida - Any: 21 (Milton) Major: 21 (Milton)
 


News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | >> (show all)
belleami
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 31
Loc: St George Island/ Apalachicola
Re: Sustaining Cat 5? [Re: LI Phil]
      #26724 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:26 PM

If the Cat changes to a 3 or 4, do the wind fields shrink?
Like right now, hurricane force winds extend to 100 mi. mol; so if it's a Cat 3 at landfall, how far do hurricane winds extend? Is there a formula?
Thax. Susie

--------------------
hang on!


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Keith234
Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 921
Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
Re: Sustaining Cat 5? [Re: LI Phil]
      #26725 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:27 PM

I feel like a new person! Anyhow, Ivan is doing a similiar track to Camille, I hope not but this could make landfall as a strong CAT 4 and just maybe a borderline CAT 5. The Gulf Shores are known for these big hurricanes, why won't this one be another one?

--------------------
"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
chuck325
Unregistered




Re: Hurricane Ivan About to Enter the Gulf of Mexico, TD#11 Forms East of Leewards [Re: MikeC]
      #26726 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:30 PM

I live in P-cola and I know we are the middle line of this track. Even on fox news they show it going right over pensacola, but yet they send thier guys to NO which is on the very edge to milk out a story about the city sinking. GET REAL THE STORM ISNT HEADING TO NO. EVEN THOUGH I WISH IT WAS AND I KNOW FOX NEWS WISH IT WOULD FOR A BIGGER STORY BUT, ITS NOT ITS HEADING AROUND THE PENSACOLA AREA MOBILE THE FARTHEST WEST AND FT.WALTON THE FARTHES EAST. What is so hard to understand why they freak people out in places like NO. just for a story why us in pensacola just get left in te dark, with a false since of security....

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
wxman007
Meteorologist


Reged:
Posts: 617
Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
Folks....a personal request.... [Re: LI Phil]
      #26727 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:31 PM

I need to ask a personal favor from all of my friends on here. I have shared this the Mods, but I want you all to know this, and to help me out if possible.

My wife is in her 38th week of pregnancy with our 3rd child. We are taking our other two kids north to stay with their grandparents tomorrow, but her doctor has advised her not to travel, so she will be staying in a hotel next door to the local hospital. Compounding the problem is that the bridges here close at 55 mph sustained winds, so once it gets going, I am isolated from her and can't get to her if she begins going into labor.

I don't want to take this topic off onto a religious tangent, but if you are a religious person (which I am) I would ask for your prayers for me and my family at this time...if you are non-religious, then if you would keep us in your thoughts, I and my family would appreciate it.

Mods, sorry if this is too off-topic...feel free to delete if you feel it is necessary.

Thank you all in advance.

--------------------
Jason Kelley


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
LindaG
Unregistered




Re: Sustaining Cat 5? [Re: belleami]
      #26728 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:34 PM

Here are models from the TPC showing inland wind fields broken down by Cat strength and forward speed for both Gulf Coast and Atlantic Coast hits. http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutmeow.shtml

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Keith234
Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 921
Loc: 40.7N/73.3W Long Island
Re: Folks....a personal request.... [Re: wxman007]
      #26729 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:34 PM

Hopefully the hurricane will miss you, you will be in my prayers. Good luck.

--------------------
"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
belleami
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 31
Loc: St George Island/ Apalachicola
Re: Folks....a personal request.... [Re: wxman007]
      #26731 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:34 PM

You got if Jason! Sending heart-felt prayers your way!
Susie

--------------------
hang on!


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
StormHound
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 187
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: Sustaining Cat 5? [Re: belleami]
      #26732 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:35 PM

Quote:

If the Cat changes to a 3 or 4, do the wind fields shrink?
Like right now, hurricane force winds extend to 100 mi. mol; so if it's a Cat 3 at landfall, how far do hurricane winds extend? Is there a formula?
Thax. Susie




Generally, they will expand, at least for a while. Energy cannot be created or destroyed. If the winds in the center decrease, that extra energy has to go somewhere, so the wind fields often expand. Frances did this. This is often compared to an ice skater who brings his/her arms in to spin faster, spreads them out to slow down.

--------------------
Storm Hound
Computer Geek


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Rasvar
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
Re: Folks....a personal request.... [Re: wxman007]
      #26733 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:36 PM

My prayers are with you and your wife, Jason. I think having her next to the hospital is a very good idea. Considering the stage she is at, a hurricane induced birth is not out of the question. Good luck to both of you on that.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


Reged:
Posts: 1299
Re: Sustaining Cat 5? [Re: Unregistered User]
      #26734 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:36 PM

Yeah, I some what agree on the WNW wobble/jog... what, the NHC said he should begin a more northwesterly track in the 5 pm advisory..

IVAN IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR. HOWEVER... A NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO RESUME LATER TONIGHT OR EARLY TUESDAY MORNING

Looks like later tonight might be now... obviously we need some more time and pixs to confirm... might be just a temporary jog as he's confirmed a dislike for land since Grenada... for the record my concern is longitude 89, if Ivan can't reach 89 degrees longitude then I feel the BIloxi area should be relatively OK, provided the NNE to NE turn as he approaches landfall plays out... time will tell

hmmmm, next pix, back to the north....

Jason, you have our prayers.... heck, my wife has a direct line to the Lord she's so religious.....

Edited by Frank P (Mon Sep 13 2004 08:39 PM)


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
KC
Weather Hobbyist


Reged:
Posts: 87
Loc: Naples, FL
Re: Folks....a personal request.... [Re: wxman007]
      #26735 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:37 PM

Jason - I have learned a lot reading your posts the last few days. Consider it done - prayers coming your way from Naples, Florida! I should say extra prayers because I've been sending them for everyone in Ivan's path.

Karen


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
deborah
Unregistered




Re: Folks....a personal request.... [Re: wxman007]
      #26736 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:38 PM

Jason, you don't know me, I'm just a lurker here w/no idea about weather stuff at all. I am a vet of both Charlie and Frances ( I live in Seminole County). I wish you the best and although I'm not "religous", I will say a prayer for you and your family. Take care.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
chuck325
Unregistered




Re:one more thing"????? [Re: chuck325]
      #26737 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:38 PM

If any buddy can answer this for me. Im very confused I look at alot of stites like this one and they have the track right at us in P-cola, but yet the probabilty chart says the center is more likey to go near the ms/al border than p-cola why is that???????And which track is more accurate the one from NHC or the weather channel or even Accuweather thanks for responding>>

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
kirdona
Registered User


Reged:
Posts: 4
Re: Folks....a personal request.... [Re: wxman007]
      #26738 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:39 PM

Jason, may God be with you all. I can't imagine what a stressful time this must be for your family.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
kelcot
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 104
Loc: Canton, Ga
Re: Folks....a personal request.... [Re: wxman007]
      #26739 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:39 PM

Jason-
1. You and your family will be in my prayers.
2. If the doctors don't want her to travel (which makes sence) but there is a possible cat IV-V hurricane coming, why doesn't her doctor check her into the hospital? I think you should explain your situation to him and I think he'll change his mind. Besides, how is a woman in labor expected to walk anywhere let alone in 150+ winds?
If it's a boy, are you going to name him Ivan?

--------------------
Kelly


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
BillD
User


Reged:
Posts: 398
Loc: Miami
Re: Sustaining Cat 5? [Re: belleami]
      #26740 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:39 PM

Not necessarily. The windfield size does not have a direct connection to wind speed. Take Andrew as an example, very small storm with a tight windfield, but landfalling as a cat5. Frances had a huge windfield but was not a major hurricane at landfall. Ivan has a huge windfield, and chances are that even if he loses strength down to a 2 or 3, the windfield will stay fairly large, it might shrink some, but we won't know that until about landfall unfortunately.

Bill


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
tikibar
Verified CFHC User


Reged:
Posts: 13
Loc: 28.6N 81.37W
Re: Folks....a personal request.... [Re: wxman007]
      #26741 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:40 PM

consider it done!

keep the faith, brother!
I got an inside line to the "big" man upstairs


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
sullynole
Verified CFHC User


Reged:
Posts: 21
Loc: Tallahassee, FL
Re: Hurricane Ivan About to Enter the Gulf of Mexico, TD#11 Forms East of Leewards [Re: chuck325]
      #26742 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:40 PM

Quote:

I live in P-cola and I know we are the middle line of this track. Even on fox news they show it going right over pensacola, but yet they send thier guys to NO which is on the very edge to milk out a story about the city sinking. GET REAL THE STORM ISNT HEADING TO NO. EVEN THOUGH I WISH IT WAS AND I KNOW FOX NEWS WISH IT WOULD FOR A BIGGER STORY BUT, ITS NOT ITS HEADING AROUND THE PENSACOLA AREA MOBILE THE FARTHEST WEST AND FT.WALTON THE FARTHES EAST. What is so hard to understand why they freak people out in places like NO. just for a story why us in pensacola just get left in te dark, with a false since of security....




although the media does often blow things out of proportion (i.e Tampa and west coast)... don't focus only on the center of this track.

--------------------
John


Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Kent
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 106
Loc: Ft. Lauderdale
Re: Folks....a personal request.... [Re: wxman007]
      #26743 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:40 PM

She is being lifted up as I write this Jason. Many prayers from Ft. Lauderdale and Calvary Chapel.

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
chuck325
Unregistered




Re: Sustaining Cat 5? [Re: Frank P]
      #26744 - Mon Sep 13 2004 08:40 PM

Do you believe Frank that P-cola is directly in the path or is it farther west??

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | >> (show all)



Extra information
0 registered and 527 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating: *****
Topic views: 86076

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at
Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center