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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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Elaine H
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Re: Rule & Jason [Re: LI Phil]
      #26787 - Tue Sep 14 2004 01:51 AM

Castro in a convertible would be fine...if anyone gets that..they will be showing their age...like me

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rule
Weather Guru


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Re: Rule & Jason [Re: clyde w.]
      #26788 - Tue Sep 14 2004 01:52 AM

Sounds like the MSNBC guys were drinking the Dynogel...

There seems to be a nice lighthouse at the point of land, but experiencing a C5 at night... would just be noisy.

Edited by rule (Tue Sep 14 2004 01:53 AM)


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meto
Weather Guru


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Re: The good news about the recent model runs [Re: Colleen A.]
      #26789 - Tue Sep 14 2004 01:53 AM

colleen last ghs sat. pics show due north.

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Keith234
Storm Chaser


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Re: Rule & Jason [Re: LI Phil]
      #26790 - Tue Sep 14 2004 01:53 AM

I thought Fidel Castro was dead, wasn't he like 40 when that bay of pigs event occured? My Social Studies stinks.

--------------------
"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe


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Daytonaman
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Re: Hurricane Winds [Re: WXMAN RICHIE]
      #26791 - Tue Sep 14 2004 01:56 AM

Link to some great photos of Ivan from the International Space Station:
Ivan Space Photos

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Bruce
Port Orange, FL
29.14 80.99
Thanks to all who work so hard to teach those of us without the knowledge but the thirst to know.


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LI Phil
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Re: Rule & Jason [Re: Keith234]
      #26792 - Tue Sep 14 2004 01:57 AM

Just a note to anyone who cares...

Keith's edumacation is nawt indikative of thaat wiich us Lon Gislanders reseev.

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Lake Toho - Kissimmee
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Re: The good news about the recent model runs [Re: Colleen A.]
      #26793 - Tue Sep 14 2004 01:57 AM

I feel bad for those that are going to get hit. Talk about a major disruption in ones life. I am still digging out from Charley, not to mention Frances. Its been a month since Charley (tonight) and I am still # 500 on the list for most roofers to even provide an estimate, and I have to get the roof replaced before I can get my insulation redone, my ceilings and walls drywalled, my wood floors replaced, carpet replaced, house painted, soffits redone, porch repaired, new doors, new windows, and all my personal effects, nevermind the landscaping and trees removed. Which by the way tree and debris removal is not covered by your insurance company. So amongst no electric, water, cable, and long lines for gas, water, ice, and other essentials, its one big headache.

The storm is the easy part.. Afterwards its one big mess. Good luck.. my prayers are with you all for a speedy recovery, patience, and cool nights..

--------------------
Dream like you will live forever.. Live like there is no tommorow.. Darwin Rules !!


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clyde w.
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Re: Rule & Jason [Re: Keith234]
      #26794 - Tue Sep 14 2004 01:57 AM

Keith he is dead--its a Weekend at Bernies kind of thing they have going on down there.

This was all on Olberman's (sp?) show, so you have to take it how you will. Lord knows he knows nothing about the weather...


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Rasvar
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Re: The good news about the recent model runs [Re: meto]
      #26795 - Tue Sep 14 2004 01:58 AM

Long term motion looks NNW to me right now. Wobbling a bit. Looks due south of PCB right now, so if that NW motion does not resume, it could be interesting. Just hope he gets sheared to heck before landfall, whereever it occurs.

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Colleen A.
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Re: Rule & Jason [Re: scottsvb]
      #26796 - Tue Sep 14 2004 01:58 AM

Roughly the same, yes...but I bet you your met degree that it will change by 11pm...to the right. I trust the mets here and they did a whopper of a job with Bonnie, Charley, Frances.....mind you, I'm not calling for TB to get hit. I just think that we'll see a gradual shift to the right over the next 24-36 hours that will put W.C. Florida back into the cone again, and we'll get worse weather than has been forecasted for the last 2 days.

I'll eat crow for a week if I'm wrong on this, but I'm not afraid to give my (met degree or not) prediction on a landfall. I'm going to say anywhere between Pensacola and Suwannee in 3 days. I think Ivan's going to get caught up in the ridge/trough/low whatever it is that's coming down, and depending on how far north Ivan is able to get before that happens will determine the area of landfall. With a storm this big, landfall could be considered anywhere 50.5 miles east and 50.5 miles west of the center, given the fact that the hurricane force winds extend out 105? miles or so. I think everyone from N.O. to Tampa Bay is going to feel an effect from Ivan.

How can they wait for ALL the models to get in? We'd never get a track. Most of them only run twice a day. The UKMET and the CMC have already shifted right. Who knows what the FSU SuperSecret Ensemble will have done by then.

That's my story and I'm sticking to it.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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Elaine H
Verified CFHC User


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Re: The good news about the recent model runs [Re: meto]
      #26797 - Tue Sep 14 2004 01:58 AM

Due north ... probably another wobble ... I hope. I am outside Tampa Bay and cannot relax until north of us

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Keith234
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Re: Rule & Jason [Re: LI Phil]
      #26798 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:00 AM

That's a funny one!

--------------------
"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe


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LI Phil
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Re: Rule & Jason [Re: Keith234]
      #26799 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:02 AM

Yeah, comes from lack of sleep.

How the hell can you be a falcons fan...get off my boards!

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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peggyone
Registered User


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Re: Folks....a personal request.... [Re: wxman007]
      #26800 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:02 AM

Is there anyway you can stay with her.? Those of us in the medical field (Like me ) know that when the pressure drops so do the baby"s. My prayer's are with you and new one and your existing family.Please if you're family is safe the miracle of life in these trying times renews us all. Thanks for all you do my prayers are with you and all. lurking for info but to shy to post.

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"There are lies and then there are statistics where are you ?"


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danigirl
Unregistered




Re: Rule & Jason [Re: LI Phil]
      #26801 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:03 AM

ROFLMAO...Too funny, I sure hope Keith was joking

dani

btw, i can't for the life of me remember my password so danigirl=dani too


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Keith234
Storm Chaser


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Re: Rule & Jason [Re: LI Phil]
      #26802 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:04 AM

The falcons are going to do great this year, even though their quaterback needs some work, I've been watching them, they're a work in progress.

--------------------
"I became insane with horrible periods of sanity"
Edgar Allan Poe


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rule
Weather Guru


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Re: Rule & Jason [Re: Colleen A.]
      #26803 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:05 AM

I'm hoping you are wrong, but I can't relax until it's too late for somebody...

I've got both eyes on Ivan for a NE turn.. likely or not.


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Colleen A.
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Re: The good news about the recent model runs [Re: meto]
      #26804 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:05 AM

That's what I'm seeing too. If you check the forecast points from the NHC on the loops from the GOES Sat, you can see how they are obviously going to have to move the track to the east.
Having said that............

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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danigirl
Unregistered




Re: Folks....a personal request.... [Re: peggyone]
      #26805 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:05 AM

I just had a baby 3 months ago, the day before she was due we had a horrible tornado outbreak here and yeah the contractions came on pretty strong, though the little stinker decided to stay in for another 7 days.

dani


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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


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Re: Rule & Jason [Re: Keith234]
      #26806 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:06 AM

I have Vick in my FL, me like a dummy didn't play Crumpler, too much wobble on the brain

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Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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