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Special Tropical Weather Outlook issued for area in the East-Central Atlantic, only with 10% chance for development, not expected to do much.
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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

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LI Phil
User


Reged:
Posts: 2637
Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
Re: Rule & Jason [Re: Keith234]
      #26807 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:07 AM

Mike Vick is a future MVP...no doubt...but so's the CHAD!

OK, gotta stay on topic....anyone think we have Jeanne at 11:00?

I'm trying to stay awake long enough to see if the "rumored" big track shift is a bunch of hooey.

In all seriousness, this is going to be bad...really bad...I just hope everyone who may be affected by Ivan is as prepared as they can be...

Godspeed.

--------------------
2005 Forecast: 14/7/4

BUCKLE UP!

"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"


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Colleen A.
Moderator


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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: Rule & Jason [Re: LI Phil]
      #26808 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:08 AM

Well, dang...doncha know that in my FFL I have Ahman Green and Carolina as my defense?
I'm gonna go watch the game and scream some obscenities at the TV screen for a while....

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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Rasvar
Weather Master


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Posts: 571
Loc: Tallahassee, Fl
Re: Rule & Jason [Re: LI Phil]
      #26809 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:08 AM

I don't think Jeanne is all cooked up yet. Maybe by 5:00am. Just hope she does not have explosive growth.

--------------------
Jim


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k___g
Weather Guru


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Posts: 110
Loc: Leesburg, FL
Re: Rule & Jason [Re: Colleen A.]
      #26810 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:09 AM

you go girl!!..I'm a bit concerned with the current track..it looks a wee bit too northerly for me here in Orlando...You've been through what we've been through...can't help being a bit gun-shy...if you know what I mean.?.?

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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


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Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
Re: Rule & Jason [Re: LI Phil]
      #26811 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:09 AM

That CHAD thing always gets them going, good job keeping the mood light. I was very interested in the wv's I saw. Ivan get more push than we think

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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Colleen A.
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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: Rule & Jason [Re: Tazmanian93]
      #26812 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:10 AM

I have, Crumpler, too!

Back on topic: LI Phil...I didn't say a HUGE shift...just a gradual one.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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WXMAN RICHIE
Weather Master


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Posts: 463
Loc: Boynton Beach, FL
Predictions [Re: Colleen A.]
      #26813 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:10 AM

I'm still going with that NE turn into the Tampa Bay to Big Bend area. Last night I said once it starts turning it keeps turning NW, N, NE in a short time frame. It may have already done the NW and N part in a short period of time. Next would be NE. Always said the trough would be underplayed and I am keeping to my thinking.

Here is Thomas tonight too:
Hurricane Ivan has turned northward. That means that all the stuff the weather forecasting models and local TV Meteorologists and the NHC have been/are saying about a Pensacola to New Orleans landfall is all crap. I still stick to an Apalachicola to Cedar Key landfall, the only Meteorologist doing so the past few days. If this landfall happens we will all know once again that we're in a hurricane.

Thomas F. Giella
Retired Space & Atmospheric Weather Forecaster
Plant City, FL

--------------------
Another typical August:
Hurricane activity is increasing and the Red Sox are choking.

Live weather from my backyard:
http://www.wunderground.com/weatherstation/WXDailyHistory.asp?ID=KFLBOYNT4


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Tazmanian93
Weather Master


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Posts: 495
Loc: Tampa
Re: Rule & Jason [Re: Colleen A.]
      #26814 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:12 AM

Collen, funny you say that, I have Ahman also, and I am down by 12 against Kicker John Kasay tonight. Great comeback by Lefty in Jax

--------------------
Don't knock the weather; nine-tenths of the people couldn't start a conversation if it didn't change once in a while.

Go Bucs!!!!!!!!!

****************

Ed


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dani
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 25
Loc: Pensacola/Indianapolis
Re: Rule & Jason [Re: Colleen A.]
      #26815 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:12 AM

I'll be screaming profanities too but only cause my packers defense sucks so far this game.

Oh, btw, switched computers and was already logged in as dani (still cant remember the bloody password)

--------------------
dani

Go Green Bay!


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Colleen A.
Moderator


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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: Rule & Jason [Re: k___g]
      #26816 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:13 AM

Yes, I know exactly what you mean. So obviously, I would not want it to come anywhere NEAR us. But the picture tells the story, not the other way around.

It'll be hard to sleep...but try. Because it helps your mood and the ability to cope with whatever life throws at us...hurricanes, flooding, Dynagel..........beating yourself on your own FFL.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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danielwAdministrator
Moderator


Reged:
Posts: 3525
Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
Re: Babies, Low Pressure and the Moon [Re: Rasvar]
      #26817 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:13 AM

Haven't seen it mentioned yet, so I'll bring it up. New moon is Tuesday/ Wednesday. Higher than normal tides, plus the waves from Ivan equals, Don't Go Near The Water.
Moms in their last month of pregnancy, have a habit of delivering babies during Hurricanes. The lower the pressure the faster they seem to deliver. Motel, car, home, doesn't matter, the babies come quickly. The rest I'll leave to the Discovery Channel


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rule
Weather Guru


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Posts: 132
Loc: Ocala, Florida
Re: The good news about the recent model runs [Re: Colleen A.]
      #26818 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:15 AM

Thanks for the first down, Colleen!

Ivan's been throwing off a lot of material today. Also it seems like the core is getting smaller. Is this caused by interaction with Cuba and the Yacatan?

Maybe another EWR starting? Perhaps Ivan will not regain C5 status from now on, or is he just getting lean and mean for the final run?


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GuppieGrouper
Weather Master


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Posts: 596
Loc: Polk County, Florida
Re: Rule & Jason [Re: Keith234]
      #26819 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:15 AM

Castro is 78 years old the last I heard. BTW Jason, my family lives 50 miles north of PCB. I am praying for you. I know a whole church full of people will be as well when I let them know. Take Care.

--------------------
God commands. Laymen guess. Scientists record.


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dani
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 25
Loc: Pensacola/Indianapolis
Re: Babies, Low Pressure and the Moon [Re: danielw]
      #26820 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:16 AM

Moms' in their last month of pregnancy love to see new/full moons but in reality they come when they want to


So what is the probability that this storm is going to stay a real strong cat 4 at delivery?

--------------------
dani

Go Green Bay!


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jth off
Unregistered




Re: Rule & Jason [Re: Keith234]
      #26821 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:16 AM

Don't have a clue what you guys are looking at, but the movement is NW. Steadily NW at that.

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Colleen A.
Moderator


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Posts: 1432
Loc: Florida
Re: Rule & Jason [Re: dani]
      #26822 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:17 AM

We're gonna get in trouble for going off-topic. But it's keeping me sane.

Even though a hurricane as big as ...um....Texas? looms to the south, life goes on and we have to live it, like it or not. If we don't we'll go INsane. I'm halfway there as it is.

--------------------
You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.


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ShaggyDude
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 112
Loc: Cocoa Beach, Florida
Re: Rule & Jason [Re: jth off]
      #26823 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:18 AM

Looks pretty NNW to me.

http://www.esl.lsu.edu/AOI/AOI1_wv_loop.html


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scottsvb
Weather Master


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Posts: 1184
Loc: fl
Re: Rule & Jason *DELETED* [Re: Colleen A.]
      #26824 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:18 AM

Post deleted by scottsvb

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Wxwatcher2
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 337
Loc:
Re: Rule & Jason [Re: dani]
      #26825 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:19 AM

Earlier today I was saing that there was no way that Ivan turns and heads toward Tampa/Cedar Key.
However, the more you look at the NNW direction he's going now and you look just off to the right, well it gets a bit dicy should Ivan turn earlier than expected.
I guess that's why I'm with Phil tonight. Too tired to be up but can't go to bed with a Cat V lurking off my coastline.


Go Buc's and Jags
Dolphis "RIP"


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Unknown
Unregistered




Re: Rule & Jason [Re: ShaggyDude]
      #26826 - Tue Sep 14 2004 02:20 AM

I think I will wishcast it to the east and let you guys in Tampa have this one.

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