StormHound
Weather Guru
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Loc: Orlando, FL
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Ok, guys. First, it's waaayyy to early for this. 
I'm still in the middle of baseball season, and I have a monster project at work. No way I have time to track these storms for friends and family.
Now. If I recall correctly, potential was Playa a couple of days ago. That would mean that he survived his trek across the Atlantic. Since we're in early July, that sounds rather ominous to me. Can any of the climatologists comment on what this might portend for the rest of the season?
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Storm Hound
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Colleen A.
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Quote:
Can any of the climatologists comment on what this might portend for the rest of the season?
T-R-O-U-B-L-E
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You know you're a hurricane freak when you wake up in the morning and hit "REFRESH" on CFHC instead of the Snooze Button.
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Ed Dunham
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)
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For those that are interested, I've updated the Main Page leadoff article.
ED
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stormchazer
Storm Tracker
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Looks like 97L will be classified as TD4 at 11pm.
NRL
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Jara
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RedingtonBeachGuy
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Coop - that is a HUGE storm, size wise.. the outflow looks to me (pure amateur eyes) to be one of the biggest storms I have ever seen this early in the year (2N - 20N???).
Now, I am I seeing this right or did I just peek at a 5 pm sat image with the typical influx of heat raised t-storm activity?
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Terra
Storm Tracker
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Loc: Kingwood, Texas
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Quote:
Can any of the climatologists comment on what this might portend for the rest of the season?
Yea, where's that El Nino when you need him?
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Terra Dassau Cahill
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Hurricane Fredrick 1979
Weather Guru
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Loc: Mobile,Alabama
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They already got it TD4 on the 5/00Z model runs
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StormHound
Weather Guru
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Loc: Orlando, FL
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Clark, if you're correct, that pretty much tosses out the 5pm track completely. I hate to say it, but Jason looks like he might get another unwelcome visitor.
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Storm Hound
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HCW
Storm Tracker
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Loc: Mobile,AL
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The new model runs I hope are not a new trend cause the AL gulfcoast beaches can't take even a TS at this point.
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wxman007
Meteorologist
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Loc: Tuscaloosa, AL
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As expected, TD 4 is initiated....slight eastward shift to the TD3 track....Stewart is writing the package tonight...awaiting the discos....
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Jason Kelley
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dem05
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Loc: Port Charlotte, FL
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Beat me to the punch while logging in. Not a footrace though. You are right, however...Calling a point at 29.4N, 91.2W before landfall. No changes in watches. THIS IS FOR TD 3 only posters. Don't want to confuse anyone.
Forecast advisory: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATCMAT3+shtml/050225.shtml
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danielw
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Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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TD4
Per the water vapor loops, I'm seeing what appears to be two convective, rotating centers in TD4. Last frame looks like a recenter back to the east near Grenada.
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WeatherNLU00
Unregistered
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Lost my password, waiting for the new one but I can't believe they shifted the track almost to Grand Isle for TD3 and did not include New Orleans in the Tropical Storm Watch. Very surprising.
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Hurricane Fredrick 1979
Weather Guru
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Loc: Mobile,Alabama
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The way the models are running i'm not suprised they didnt put the whole NGOM under a watch.
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danielw
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Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Quote:
Lost my password, waiting for the new one but I can't believe they shifted the track almost to Grand Isle for TD3 and did not include New Orleans in the Tropical Storm Watch. Very surprising.
I'm thinking that New Orleans may be included in the 4 AM or 8 AM Advisory.
Might have as much to do with the current storm strength, or lack of it, as it does with throwing warnings up around daylight.
Daylight warnings seem to be a tad bit safer. If you are evacuating.
New Orleans is Not under any Watches or Warning at this time. The topic just came up for discussion.
Edited by danielw (Mon Jul 04 2005 11:48 PM)
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danielw
Moderator
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Loc: Hattiesburg,MS (31.3N 89.3W)
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Mike has posted a new thread...please post there. Thanks
Tropical Depression 4 Forms in Caribbean, TD#3 in Gulf
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lee haycook
Registered User
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Loc: Southwest Florida
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After living through last years blockbuster"Florida Hurricanes", it would appear we are in for the sequel "hurricanes part two"
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Just once I wish someone would call me "Sir" without adding "you're making a scene"
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