MikeC
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Loc: Orlando, FL
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11AM CDT
New Orleans...
Some flooding in East Parts, some structural damage in SE. Many conflicting reports...
East... Jim Cantore's hotel is flooded up to the first level, a ways from the coast.
Mobile bay, parts of I-10 are under water near water street.
photo of Mobile Bayway:
Original Update
Hurricane has made landfall in Southeastern Louisiana, just south of Buras, as a Category 4 hurricane.
This is about 70 miles south southeast of New Orleans, the center crossed around 6:10AM CDT (7:10EDT).
Katrina has weakened some overnight as dry air encroached in the western eye, lowering it to a Category 4 system. The worst will be felt in New Orelans and points east over the next several hours.
Since it's near the mouth of the Mississippi River, effects from land weakening won't be as pronounced, and the dry pocket to the west has begun to fill in, however it will keep the storm from strengthening any more as it crosses inland.
(We and are looking for feedback on maps, let us know here)
More to come...
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The primary website has reached its current bandwidth limit, and may be slow. The image servers are still working fine, however.
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TD#13
Animated model plots of TD#13
Invest 91L
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LI Phil
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Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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thanks for the new thread mike...of course she is still a monster, but thank god (for new orleans) that she took a much more northward turn late last night or they would have taken the NE quadrant...of course, the shift east means areas east of NO are now going to take the worst of it...
the worst is still to come too
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Random Chaos
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
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--repost from the old thread--
FYI, it appears that the primary tide gauge at NO guage for Lake Pontchartrain has broken. Here's the raw data from the backup gauge:
http://140.90.121.76/cgi-bin/co-ops_qry_...ormat=View+Data
Data in Meters
Source is NOAA CO-OPS
----------------
Just heard on an NBC interview with the Mayor of New Orleans that water is already coming over the levies. This was a quote by the mayor.
Edited by Random Chaos (Mon Aug 29 2005 08:20 AM)
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NewWatcher
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 388
Loc: Port Orange, FL
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Call me stupid, could you repeat that in english please, What does
that mean exactly?...
-------------------- Pam in Volusia County
According to Colleen A ... "I AM A HURRICANE FREAK"
2007 Predictions 16/9/6
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RedingtonBeachGuy
Moderator
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Posts: 342
Loc: St. Cloud, FL
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NBC is reporting water is seeping in the Superdome.. some layers of the roof have evidently started to peel in one corner.
*ouch*
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AmateurJohn
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 27
Loc: Highlands County, FL
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WAPT in Jackson is streaming it's coverage. The have a reporter doing a live report right now from the SuperDome. He has just reported that something on the roof has given way and water is now coming into the building from the roof. He said people are moving from the stands to more protected areas. The reporter said he is very nervous and has covered storms for many years. He just said he can feel water falling on his head. Like a sprinking now, but getting heavier. It is only in one section of the Dome, but it is very worrying. "People are trying to remain calm. They are trying to make their way from the plaza level to where the concrete reinforced concessions are. The sprinkling is now more like a thunderstorm getting ready to come."
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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
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Quote:
New Orleans...water is already coming over the levies.
Yes and the next several hours will be the worst, with the strongest winds blowing water over the levees from Lake Ponchatrain into the city (guess I'm now familliar with the doomsday scenario).
-------------------- Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp
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collegemom
Weather Hobbyist
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Posts: 82
Loc: Central Arkansas
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I am trying to keep myself calm realizing the worst of the storm is in front of us. We all knew this was going to be very, very serious.
-------------------- character has been defined as what we do when no one is looking
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Random Chaos
Weather Analyst
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Posts: 1024
Loc: Maryland
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Also, a new Vortex Recon as of 30 mins ago.
The eyewall is NOW CLOSED again, and has shrunk to 23 NMs:
049
URNT12 KNHC 291228
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 29/12:09:50Z
B. 29 deg 33 min N
089 deg 34 min W
C. 700 mb 2420 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 123 deg 116 kt
G. 34 deg 034 nm
H. 923 mb
I. 10 C/ 3049 m
J. 18 C/ 3053 m
K. 16 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C23
N. 12345/ 7
O. 0.03 / 1 nm
P. AF300 2212A OB 10
MAX FL WIND 124 KT SE QUAD 11:07:50 Z
SFC CENTER W/IN 5NM OF FL CENTER
EYE WALL WEAKER TO SOUTH
MAX FL TEMP 19C 270 / 10 NM FROM FL CNTR
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Ed in Va
Weather Master
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Posts: 489
Loc:
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WWLTV in NO has a live feed:
http://www.wwltv.com/perl/common/video/wmPlayer.pl?title=beloint_khou&props=livenoad
With the movement to the NE, I wonder it the track will be adjusted at 11. The models now do not show a NE movement until the storm gets into the middle of MS.
-------------------- Survived Carol and Edna '54 in Maine. Guess this kind of dates me!
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LI Phil
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Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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NO mayor ray nagin was just interviewed on msnbc...he has confirmed that the superdome is leaking but that this was to be "expected"...he stated the dome is "structurally sound" but it is expected to be bearing the brunt of 140 mph wind gusts shortly...
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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lunkerhunter
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 248
Loc: Saint Augustine, FL
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Stage Data
Mississippi River At New Orleans, LA (Carrollton)
Corps of Engineers Dock at Mile 102.8 (1962 survey)
Mississippi River Basin
29-56-05 N
90-08-10 W
Records available from JAN 12, 1872 to date at NGVD
+21.27 Feet on Apr 25, 1922
Minus 1.60 Feet on Dec 27, 1872
now at +14.5ft
http://www.mvn.usace.army.mil/cgi-bin/watercontrol.pl?01300
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Psyber
Storm Tracker
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Posts: 237
Loc: Ontario, Canada
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People are surprised about the superdome? Lets remember that it's just a skeleton with a thin cover on the top.
Point of note: once the leading edge of the roof is compromised, the roof essentially turns into a big balloon...capturing more and more air as more and more of it tears off...
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RedingtonBeachGuy
Moderator
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Posts: 342
Loc: St. Cloud, FL
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WKRG just reported 140 mph gusts in Buras, 113 gusts in Pascagoula and neither have seen the eye yet.
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BabyCat
Weather Guru
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Loc: New Orleans, La.
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Live report from superdome in NO on ABC
they are being moved to the edges of the dome because the roof may fail.. "Sounds like a waterfall"
Horrible
Says the roof hasn't peeled just bad leaking
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Margie
Senior Storm Chaser
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Posts: 1191
Loc: Twin Cities
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Quote:
WKRG just reported 140 mph gusts in Buras, 113 gusts in Pascagoula and neither have seen the eye yet.
A gust over 100 in Pasco Beach already. Guess my brother is either pretty busy or possibly trying to snatch some sleep before the brunt of the storm hits, because I haven't heard from him since he went on duty last night.
1245Z vis sat image very impressive
From the 8am advis: "the center will be passing just to the east of New Orleans during the next few hours with the worst of the weather for that city occurring over the next couple of hours. The center is expected to move into southern Mississippi later today."
It looks like the weather will be bad for MS Gulf Coast as well the next several hours...and then the storm will arrive.
-------------------- Katrina's Surge: http://www.wunderground.com/hurricane/Katrinas_surge_contents.asp
Edited by Margie (Mon Aug 29 2005 09:09 AM)
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LI Phil
User
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Loc: Long Island (40.7N 73.6W)
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i just heard a report (unconfirmed) that the roof tiles are now peeling off the superdome...anyone have any info on this?
also, anyone hear about biloxi conditions?
-------------------- 2005 Forecast: 14/7/4
BUCKLE UP!
"If your topic ain't tropic, your post will be toast"
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Rick on boat in Mobile
Weather Drama Guru
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Posts: 161
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out....pick up using Mobile's
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StormKrone
Weather Watcher
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Posts: 34
Loc: Jacksonville, FL
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Quote:
Says the roof hasn't peeled just bad leaking
CNN is reporting that the roof IS peeling.. Interviewing Sen. Landrieu of LA right now... not good...
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twizted sizter
Weather Guru
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Posts: 184
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Quote of the day...from the Fox guy outside the hotel in MS..."Wow...o.k. we're going to go inside now...it's pretty stupid to be out here"
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