Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


The Atlantic is quiet
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 43 (Milton) , Major: 43 (Milton) Florida - Any: 43 (Milton) Major: 43 (Milton)
None
COMMUNICATION
STORM DATA
CONTENT
FOLLOW US
 

You are not logged in. [Login] Other Forums · Search · Active Topics
New user · Who's Online · FAQ · Rules · Calendar

General Discussion >> Hurricane Ask/Tell
Previous topic Previous   View all topics Index   Next topic Next   Threaded Mode Threaded  

Pages: 1
Multi-Decadal Signal
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 149
Loc: BROWARD
Is the October "spike" real or just a statistical anomaly/artifact?
      #54759 - Thu Sep 15 2005 12:22 AM

It has always puzzled me to see this bump upward in storm numbers amidst the trending (smooth) decline after the first 1/3 of September. I would like to think that the small sample we have of storms; <125 years, is the reason and that a few hundred more years of data would take care of my suspicions.

I am cognizant that the possibility exists during the transition from the most active TS period to the end of the Eastern season, factors may come into play in a way that enhances storm formation during this suspect, by me at least, few weeks.

I am so far removed from the little knowledge of statistics I once had that I'm unable to run data and do the testing required for assessing statistical significance and confidence in the validity of the October outlier.

The answer I seek may already be in the literature and/or you may have ideas about this issue. Any thoughts or help will be greatly appreciated.

--------------------
Who you gonna' believe?
Me, or your damn lying eyes?
_Ö_ _ö_

Post Extras: Print Post   Remind Me!   Notify Moderator  
Pages: 1


Previous topic Previous   View all topics Index   Next topic Next   Threaded Mode Threaded  

Extra information
0 registered and 76 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  

Print Topic

Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Topic views: 2991

Rate this topic

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center