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No development is expected in the Atlantic over the next two days, but our eyes are turning to the Caribbean as conditions for development improve heading into November
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News Talkback >> 2003 Storm Forum

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
The Forecasts
      #6372 - Thu Jun 12 2003 06:58 PM

Well we lost some good threads due to the computer glitch, but I did manage to salvage the seasonal outlooks which had been posted. Here is what I had captured prior to the data loss:

The Pros
NHC (avg) 13/8/3
TSR 12/7/3
Dr Gray 14/8/3

The Cons (couldn't resist )
ED 12/7/3
Steve 14/8/4
HankFrank 13/8/3
Kevin/Rob 13/7/3
Cycloneye 14/8/3
Rich B. 14/9/4
Toni 13/9/3
Joe 14/7/3
Clyde W. 15/8/4
JustMe 16/10/4
Rainband 12/6/4
Frank P 13/8/3
StormHound 18/9/2
troy2 16/8/4

Hope that I didn't overlook anyone that may have posted their numbers. Certainly a tight cluster this year for a busy season. Updated on 06/14 - not as tight a cluster anymore!

About two dozen registrations were lost, so if you registered after April 28th, please re-register on the site.

Just for the fun of it (no science involved), on what date will Bill become a named reality? BTW, I have an entry 'cutoff' rule, so waiting a day or so before the next TS is likely to be named will not get you the prize - remember, this is a fun thing.
Cheers,
ED

Edited by Ed Dunham (Sat Jun 14 2003 11:14 PM)


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57497479
Weather Master


Reged:
Posts: 414
Loc: W. Central Florida
Re: The Forecasts
      #6373 - Thu Jun 12 2003 08:12 PM

Well ED I guess I will be the first Con to stick my neck out...lol
My best guess would be the last week of June or the first week of July, but to narrow it down to a certain date I am going to say June 29th

Toni

--------------------
TONI


All of us could take a lesson from the weather:
It pays no attention to criticism

My 2003 Hurricane guess 13-9-3


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JustMe
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 128
Loc: Orlando, Florida
Re: The Forecasts
      #6374 - Thu Jun 12 2003 09:16 PM

July 3 for Bill

numbers 16/10/7

--------------------

I have survived Betsy Miss, Camille Miss., Andrew Fl, Charley Fl, Frances FL, Jeanne FL,


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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


Reged:
Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Re: The Forecasts
      #6382 - Fri Jun 13 2003 07:10 PM

I'll sweeten the deal and mail an appropriate prize to the lucky winner!
Cheers,
ED


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Rainband
Registered User


Reged:
Posts: 4
Loc: florida
Re: The Forecasts
      #6383 - Fri Jun 13 2003 07:25 PM

12/6/4 July 20th for bill

--------------------
~Johnathan~


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Cycloneye
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 373
Loc: Puerto Rico
Re: The Forecasts
      #6384 - Fri Jun 13 2003 07:28 PM

Well I see Bill forming on july 22.

--------------------
My 2004 hurricane season forecast=13/8/3

Edited by Cycloneye (Fri Jun 13 2003 07:31 PM)


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Frank P
Veteran Storm Chaser


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Posts: 1299
Re: The Forecasts
      #6387 - Fri Jun 13 2003 08:05 PM

Bill will form on July 10...

My numbers for the season.... a SWAG at best...
13 named storms
8 hurricanes
3 major storms

13/8/3


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StormHound
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 187
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: The Forecasts
      #6388 - Fri Jun 13 2003 08:46 PM

Ok, you guys are too conservative. You're pretty much going with the pros. First off, Bill will form on June 27th. Secondly, my numbers are 18/9/2.
May the season find you entertained, but safe!

--------------------
Storm Hound
Computer Geek


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Jason M
Weather Watcher


Reged:
Posts: 39
Loc: New Orleans
Re: The Forecasts
      #6389 - Sat Jun 14 2003 12:05 AM

This could be one of Gray's final forecasts.

--------------------
http://www.independentwx.com


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Joe
Storm Tracker


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Posts: 216
Loc: St.Petersburg,FL
Re: The Forecasts
      #6390 - Sat Jun 14 2003 12:26 AM

I'll shoot for Bill forming on July 9th.

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JustMe
Weather Guru


Reged:
Posts: 128
Loc: Orlando, Florida
Re: The Forecasts
      #6391 - Sat Jun 14 2003 07:38 AM

Something about Orlando people we sure have high numbers
LOL

I think the 7 is really high but I was having fun
4 is more like it

July 3 for Bill is still my Best Bet

--------------------

I have survived Betsy Miss, Camille Miss., Andrew Fl, Charley Fl, Frances FL, Jeanne FL,


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clyde w.
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 211
Loc: Orlando, FL
Re: The Forecasts
      #6398 - Sat Jun 14 2003 01:14 PM

This Atlantic is really trying to give us Bill sooner rather than later...I'm going with June 18th...frankly I think Bill is going to come from our sudden uptick in shower activity in the Western Carribean.

PS- Ed, I did read the 11:30 TWO before posting this, so if that eliminates me from the running I understand.


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CFHCAdministrator



Reged:
Posts: 164
Loc: East Central Florida
Re: The Forecasts
      #6412 - Sat Jun 14 2003 05:37 PM

Just a note, we've put on a couple new layers of backups now so at most we lose about 24 hours if something catastrophic happened with the site..

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troy2
Storm Tracker


Reged:
Posts: 227
Loc: cocoa beach
Re: The Forecasts
      #6428 - Sat Jun 14 2003 10:44 PM

ok I will give mine
16/8/4 ( with more than a fair shair of some moderates)

a long season a few november spinners in gulf and central atlantic (water already so warm there)

and even though its a day or less away ( so no Jelly of the Month Club for me ) Bill by sun the 15th late pm


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