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92L East of the Bahamas up to 50% chance for development. NE Florida and Georgia should watch closely. Area behind Alberto up to 60% chance to develop.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 295 (Idalia) , Major: 295 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 295 (Idalia) Major: 295 (Idalia)
22.3N 102.0W
Wind: 30MPH
Pres: 1000mb
Moving:
W at 24 mph
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Weather Bloggers >> Resident Meteorologist Discussions

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Ed DunhamAdministrator
Former Meteorologist & CFHC Forum Moderator (Ed Passed Away on May 14, 2017)


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Posts: 2565
Loc: Melbourne, FL
Potential Development Area - Western Caribbean
      #65877 - Sat Jun 10 2006 04:30 AM

A broad area of low pressure centered near 18.5N 85.5W at 10/03Z has developed in the western Caribbean along an old late season front. The system is drifting slowly northward and has some potential for additional development in the next 36 hours.

Movement should be generally north, then northeast, but organization, if any, will be limited to Tropical Depression status on Saturday with a slim chance for Tropical Storm strength on Sunday and/or Monday. The latest ETA jetstream prognosis moves a very disorganized system across the Florida peninsula early next week, and that forecast seems realistic.

The system will encounter increasing westerly shear as it moves north of 24N and this will limit any significant development. Even if the system doesn't develop, the tropical rains would be a much welcomed event in most of Florida.
ED


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