Please note the Gas Rationing Rumor for Florida that has been going on is FALSE. There is no gas rationing going on.
3PM Windfield of Ivan and Jamaica: (Thanks skeetobite)
2PM Update Ivan's track has shifted a little westward at 11AM. It looks like it will hold category 4 strength as it nears Jamaica. More to come around 5.
(Note errors may be large on this graphic!)
Original Update Hurricane Ivan is currently approaching Jamaica, and will be very close or over Jamaica by late tonight and early tomorrow morning. Some of the outer edges of Ivan are already being felt there.
(Thanks Skeetobite)
The good news is that it's looking a bit weaker than ysterday when it was a category 5 for part of the day. It will still be a major system when it gets to Jamaica, but not a category 5. Whatever it will be when it reaches Jamaica I hope for the best and I hope all there have prepared as best they could.
After Jamaica, it will cross over Cuba and enter the Gulf of Mexico briefly. Models are starting to consolidate and want to take the storm into the Western Florida coast, again at an angle that makes picking a particular town or location along the west coast very difficult. The timeline would be Monday night and Tuesday for a Florida landfall. There still is time for it to change, but right now I don't see anything to doubt the current National Hurricane Center track.
Another Florida hit would again open up even more chance for Flooding and more tree and damage on top of existing damage that we already have seen this year.
(Note forecasts at this range can have up to 200 mile errors!)
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