F
Current Radar or Satellite Image

Flhurricane.com - Central Florida Hurricane Center - Tracking Storms since 1995Hurricanes Without the Hype! Since 1995


Unseasonably stout wave in Caribbean bringing enhanced showers and tstorms for several days, but lacks model support for development 5/26
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 272 (Idalia) , Major: 272 (Idalia) Florida - Any: 272 (Idalia) Major: 272 (Idalia)
 


News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

MikeCAdministrator
Admin


Reged:
Posts: 4545
Loc: Orlando, FL
Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica
      Fri Sep 10 2004 08:43 PM

Jim Williams and his Hurricane City Broadcast from 8PM till 11PM and running radio from Jamaica at other times... -- Link to Real Audio -- updated!
Let Jim know where you are from.. Use this link to listen

8PM Update
Hurricane Winds are up to 150MPH at 8PM, pressure is 926mb. Jamaica is in its sights. Many have not evacuated there (From radio reports) so the chance of loss of life is high. It's getting too late to do so now as winds are starting to pick up there. Good luck Jamaica!
Jamaica News
CocoLaPalm, Negril, Jamaica Webcam

7PM Update
Recond has found a pressure reading of 927 MB, down from the 937 at the 5PM advisory, which indicates Ivan is gaining strength.

Original Update
Hurricane Ivan remains a category 4 system as it approaches Jamaica, the current forecast keeps it a Category 4 as it nears the coast. The eye of Ivan looked ragged earlier today, but now it has shown itself again so it may strengthen again. The wind speed, however, is down slightly to 140MPH. Ivan has slowed a little so it may be overnight before Jamaica sees the worst of it. And the forecast track has Ivan going in along the western edge of Jamaica, leaving the northeast side (usually the worst side of the storm) to go across most of Jamaica.



To those in Jamaica, again prayers and best of luck go to you. This will be the strongest storm you have dealt with directly in many years.



After Jamaica, Hurricane Ivan is still expected to cross into Cuba and near the west coast of Florida. Unfortunately, even at 5PM, the future track beyond 5PM is uncertain. The official track is the same as earlier, and the National Hurricane Center mentions a possibility that they may shift their track west a bit tonight, which would mean more for the panhandle and for the other northern Gulf coast states.

Again this graphic is prone to large error.


More will come later.

** SITE NOTE ** Although we are working on improving the site hardware and bandwidth (thanks to donations and help from others), we are still using the old system currently, with slight modifications. Therefore the site may go down from time to time, although not for very long. We are continually working on improving the response without removing usefulness. We have new hardware on order and should be in sometime next week.

Those asking for a mailing address for donations should use
Mike Cornelius
804 Omni Blvd
Suite 101
Newport News, VA 23606

Event RelatedLinks
Jamaican Radar (long and short range)
Jamaican Weather Service
Stormcarib personal reports from Jamaica
Ivan Models -- This image animated over time
Ivan Spaghetti Model from Hurricanealley/boatus (Working Link)
Weather Underground Model Plots for Ivan
The Caribbean Hurricane Page - updates from the islands
Caribbean Island Weather Reports
Nice color satellite image
Animated Color Ivan Satellite (With NHC Track Overlay)
(Animated Version)
High Speed Satellite Loops (Click floater)
Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations):
Tampa. Miami, Key West, Tallahassee.
Melbourne
Hurricane Local Statements for Weather Offices in:
Key West (Florida Keys)Long Range Radar Loop

General Links
Skeetobite's storm track maps
Current Aircraft Recon Info

Disaster Relief Information

NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system.

Follow worldwide SST evolution here:

Global SST Animation

NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:

North Atlantic Visible (Daytime Only), Infrared, Water Vapor
LSU Sat images

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
AVN, CMC, GFDL, JMA, NOGAPS, UKMET

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)

Multi-model plots from WREL
Other commentary at Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, HurricaneVille, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , WXRisk, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,

Even more on the links page.

Post Extras Print Post   Remind Me!     Notify Moderator


Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica MikeCAdministrator Fri Sep 10 2004 08:43 PM
. * * Ivan core may miss Jamaica berrywr   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:39 AM
. * * Maps SkeetoBiteAdministrator   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:20 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica ShanaTX   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:00 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica rule   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica MO stormspotter   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:57 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica TLHJeff   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:32 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica SoonerShawn   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:36 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:02 PM
. * * ivan/little else HanKFranK   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:17 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:22 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else tenavilla   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:13 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else sullynole   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:22 PM
. * * Steve Jerve & VIPIR Model Colleen A.   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:41 AM
. * * Re: Steve Jerve & VIPIR Model rule   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:48 AM
. * * Re: ivan/little else tenavilla   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:25 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else sullynole   Fri Sep 10 2004 11:56 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else tenavilla   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:05 AM
. * * Re: ivan/little else ThirdRay   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:49 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else tenavilla   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:54 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else tenavilla   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:59 PM
. * * Just an FYI wxman007   Fri Sep 10 2004 11:11 PM
. * * Re: Just an FYI ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 11:15 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:59 PM
. * * pressure drop MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:52 PM
. * * Re: pressure drop MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:53 PM
. * * Re: pressure drop ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:53 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else tenavilla   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:51 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else meto   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:15 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else HCW   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:41 PM
. * * Forecast tracks/Model Tracks... wxman007   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:48 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else meto   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:45 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else BillD   Fri Sep 10 2004 11:11 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 11:44 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else Heather   Fri Sep 10 2004 11:49 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else DroopGB31   Fri Sep 10 2004 11:57 PM
. * * Meteorology vs. Psychology Bev   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:07 AM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology BillD   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:14 AM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology Rasvar   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:27 AM
. * * Tom Terry Colleen A.   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:17 AM
. * * Re: Tom Terry kelcot   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:19 AM
. * * Re: Tom Terry Colleen A.   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:33 AM
. * * Re: Tom Terry ShaggyDude   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:38 AM
. * * Re: Tom Terry Jeffmidtown   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:49 AM
. * * Re: Tom Terry rule   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:57 AM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology MrSpock   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:19 AM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology LI Phil   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:24 AM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology ShaggyDude   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:30 AM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology MrSpock   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:36 AM
. * * Question SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:41 AM
. * * Re: Question MrSpock   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:45 AM
. * * Re: Question danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:51 AM
. * * Didn't see this till now... LI Phil   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:59 AM
. * * Re: Didn't see this till now... Keith234   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:01 AM
. * * Re: Didn't see this till now... rule   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:09 AM
. * * Re: Didn't see this till now... danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:17 AM
. * * Re: Didn't see this till now... danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:31 AM
. * * Orlando getting hurricane winds? Hurricaned   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:34 AM
. * * Re: Didn't see this till now... meto   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:25 AM
. * * JB Jamiewx   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:16 AM
. * * Re: JB ShaggyDude   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:18 AM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations Felix   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:29 AM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations LindaG   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:33 AM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations Felix   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:34 AM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations DroopGB31   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:47 AM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:54 AM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations rule   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:05 AM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations Colleen A.   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:30 AM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations rule   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:41 AM
. * * 11:00 Discussion rule   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:47 AM
. * * Re: 11:00 Discussion HMY   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:51 AM
. * * Probabilities will go up along the entire Fl coast over time Frank P   Sat Sep 11 2004 03:03 AM
. * * Re: 11:00 Discussion Rasvar   Sat Sep 11 2004 03:02 AM
. * * Re: 11:00 Discussion LI Phil   Sat Sep 11 2004 03:03 AM
. * * Use The New Thread Please Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Sep 11 2004 03:12 AM
. * * NEW THREAD LI Phil   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:53 AM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations meto   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:58 AM
. * * Re: Punta Gorda evacuations meto   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:04 AM
. * * Trough SoonerShawn   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:10 AM
. * * devastation Rasvar   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:55 AM
. * * Re: devastation danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:04 AM
. * * Re: devastation Frank P   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:30 AM
. * * Re: devastation rule   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:44 AM
. * * Re: devastation tazmanian93   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:02 AM
. * * Re: Ivan Update danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:07 AM
. * * Re: Ivan Update MrSpock   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:10 AM
. * * Re: Ivan Update ShaggyDude   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:09 AM
. * * Re: devastation h2ocean   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:54 AM
. * * Re: devastation BillD   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:15 AM
. * * Re: devastation Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:26 AM
. * * Re: devastation LI Phil   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:19 AM
. * * Re: devastation rd522525   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:26 AM
. * * Re: devastation kelcot   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:28 AM
. * * Re: devastation LI Phil   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:27 AM
. * * Re: devastation 52255225   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:33 AM
. * * Re: devastation kelcot   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:30 AM
. * * Re: devastation TinaLee   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:32 AM
. * * Re: devastation h2ocean   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:23 AM
. * * Re: devastation MrSpock   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:33 AM
. * * Re: devastation troy   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:27 AM
. * * Re: devastation richiesurfs   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:42 AM
. * * Re: Tom Terry TinaLee   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:29 AM
. * * Re: devastation h2ocean   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:54 AM
. * * Re: Question danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:52 AM
. * * Re: Question LI Phil   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:56 AM
. * * Re: Question DroopGB31   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:04 AM
. * * Looters and other pleasant folk LI Phil   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:11 AM
. * * Re: Looters and other pleasant folk danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:16 AM
. * * Re: Looters and other pleasant folk MrSpock   Sat Sep 11 2004 02:15 AM
. * * Re: Recon danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:54 AM
. * * Re: devastation kelcot   Sat Sep 11 2004 01:50 AM
. * * Re: Question HCW   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:44 AM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology Wxwatcher2   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:32 AM
. * * Hang on Jamaica rule   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:49 AM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology DroopGB31   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:46 AM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology ShaggyDude   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:50 AM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology StormHound   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:43 AM
. * * Last GFS 18 UTC RBL   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:38 AM
. * * Re: Last GFS 18 UTC ShaggyDude   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:43 AM
. * * Re: And now back to Ivan danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:43 AM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology ShaggyDude   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:37 AM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology LI Phil   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:32 AM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology MrSpock   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:28 AM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology danielwAdministrator   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:12 AM
. * * Re: Meteorology vs. Psychology Heather   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:10 AM
. * * Re: ivan/little else LI Phil   Sat Sep 11 2004 12:02 AM
. * * Site Problems/WV Loops LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 11:49 PM
. * * Stronger Ivan ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 11:55 PM
. * * Re: ivan/little else tenavilla   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:46 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:55 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica AgentB   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:04 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica G8R   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:01 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica meto   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:39 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica Frank P   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:46 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:05 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica Terra   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:11 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica GaryC   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:03 PM
. * * Hail? LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:06 PM
. * * Re: Hail? wxman007   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Hail? LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:16 PM
. * * Re: Hail? wxman007   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:22 PM
. * * Kingston Call Lake Toho - Kissimmee   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:18 PM
. * * Re: Hail? MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:08 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason Colleen A.   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:24 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason wxman007   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:40 PM
. * * Models Changes Timothy   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:48 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason Colleen A.   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:27 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason ShanaTX   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:53 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason wxman007   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:55 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:57 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason meto   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:07 PM
. * * back on track rule   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:26 PM
. * * Meto SoonerShawn   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:22 PM
. * * Re: Meto tenavilla   Fri Sep 10 2004 10:27 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason Colleen A.   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:30 PM
. * * Re: Hail? & ? for Jason ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:34 PM
. * * Ivan SoonerShawn   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:14 PM
. * * Re: Ivan MrSpock   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:23 PM
. * * By the way... SoonerShawn   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Hail? LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:10 PM
. * * Re: Hail? rule   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica G8R   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:03 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica rule   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:07 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica ShaggyDude   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:18 PM
. * * THANK YOU ALL belleami   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:54 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica Cane Watcher   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:48 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica alley   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:50 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica Cane Watcher   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:53 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica Mozart   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:59 PM
. * * E-mail advisories... wxman007   Fri Sep 10 2004 09:05 PM
. * * Re: Hurricane Ivan to Melee with Jamaica LI Phil   Fri Sep 10 2004 08:47 PM

Extra information
0 registered and 233 anonymous users are browsing this forum.

Moderator:  



Forum Permissions
      You cannot start new topics
      You cannot reply to topics
      HTML is disabled
      UBBCode is enabled

Rating:
Thread views: 27213

Rate this thread

Jump to

Note: This is NOT an official page. It is run by weather hobbyists and should not be used as a replacement for official sources. 
CFHC's main servers are currently located at Hostdime.com in Orlando, FL.
Image Server Network thanks to Mike Potts and Amazon Web Services. If you have static file hosting space that allows dns aliasing contact us to help out! Some Maps Provided by:
Great thanks to all who donated and everyone who uses the site as well. Site designed for 800x600+ resolution
When in doubt, take the word of the National Hurricane Center