Hurricane Warnings up from Grand Isle, LA to Apalachicola, FL and Puerto Rico

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This track may have errors, all people in the Hurricane Warning area need to prepare.

Hurricane Warnings are up, and Hurricane Force Winds are likely in the warning area late tomorrow. From Grand Isle, Louisiana to Apalachicola, Florida. Including New Orleans. The 5PM Track takes it right up Mobile Bay in Alabama. Folks in the affected areas should listen to local media and officials for more information.

Tropical Storm Jeanne is also stronger at 5M, with winds up to 60MPH. This has caused Hurricane Warnings to also be issued for Puerto Rico and the US Virgin Islands. It may landfall there as a category 1 hurricane.

Hurricane Ivan has weakened today, but the weakening trend has ended, it's about to get over a very warm eddy in the Gulf and it may strengthen a bit again. As it nears the coast shear is expected and may weaken it some, however it will remain a major (Cat3+) hurricane at Landfall, and it looks like Mobile Bay will be under the gun, although a small veer east or west could put it into the other areas. Ivan is also a very large storm, so winds will be felt quite a ways.

After landfall Ivan may stall out the in the Appalachin mountains, possibly causing flooding there.

Jeanne is looking better as well, and may very well become a strong Tropical Storm or minimal hurricane before it approaches the islands. It's future track is up for grabs, but I'm leaning toward the Atlantic right now. Although, again, it may be another one to watch for Florida up to the Mid-Atlantic states. But there is nothing definite in the long term track now.

Ivan will help determine where Jeanne goes in the long term, if Ivan causes the ridge to strengthen it will move more westward, if not, it may be a fish spinner. There is a very wide spread on Jeanne's future now so we will have to watch this. Yes I know you are tired of it.

More to come...

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Hurricane Local Statements for Weather Offices in:
All Current Hurricane Local Statements

Tallahassee, FL (Panhandle) - Long Range Radar Loop
Mobile, AL - Long Range Radar Loop
New Orelans, LA - Long Range Radar Loop
San Juan, PR - Long Range Radar Loop
Key West, FL - Long Range Radar Loop
Tampa Bay/Ruskin,FL (West Central Florida) - Long Range Radar Loop

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Event RelatedLinks

Flhurricane Mobile, AL Webcam from Joseph Johnston
Animated Version of the Mobile webcam
Closeup Animated Visible Satellite of Ivan
Anmated Ivan Visible floater Satellite
Buoy Reports from a buoy near Ivan
Police , fire and rescue scanner audio feeds from Gulf Coast locations
Storm Surge Maps for Alabama
Ivan Models -- This image animated over time
Jeanne Models -- This image animated over time
Ivan Spaghetti Model from Hurricanealley/boatus (Working Link)
Weather Underground Model Plots for Ivan
The Caribbean Hurricane Page - updates from the islands
Caribbean Island Weather Reports
Nice color satellite image
Animated Color Ivan Satellite (With NHC Track Overlay)
(Animated Version)
High Speed Satellite Loops (Click floater)
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