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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

MikeCAdministrator
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Loc: Orlando, FL
Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico
      Fri Oct 08 2004 08:54 PM

The fourteenth tropical depression has skipped striaght to Tropical Storm Matthew has formed now in the western Gulf of mexico after a few week break following Jeanne and Lisa.

This is the 13th tropical storm, however, and it's moving eastward right now, expected to move slightly more northeastward in a few days.

The current forecast track has it entering land near Panama City Beach, FL in the Florida Panhandle. This could change however. You folks don't need this after Ivan, so I really hope it changes. And likely it will, the confidence in that track is very very low.

The good news however, is that there is a good deal of shear in the gulf, and a baroclinic low trying to form. If matthew tries to move north too soon, that will tear it up. However if it makes its way more eastward it will have a little bit more time to strengthen. But I think conditions in the Gulf right now are likely to keep it just a tropical storm.

No watches or warnings are up currently.



Event Related Links
Hurricane Local Statements for Weather Offices in:
All Current Hurricane Local Statements
Matthew Models -- This image animated over time
Matthew Sphagehtti Model from BoatUS/Hurricane Alley
Matthew Plots from Weather Underground
Matthew Satelllite Image with track/radar Overlays

Matthew Radar Image

Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations):
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Mobile, AL
Tampa Bay
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General Links
Skeetobite's storm track maps

Current Aircraft Recon Info (Decoded) thanks Londovir
Other Recon Info

Mount st. Helens Volcanocam animation
NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system.

Follow worldwide SST evolution here:

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NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:

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LSU Sat images

RAMSDIS Satellite Images (high speed)

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
AVN, CMC,GFDL, JMA,NOGAPS,UKMET

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Multi-model plots from Mid-Atlantic Weather
Other commentary at Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, Hurricanetrack.com (Mark Sudduth), HurricaneVille, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , WXRisk, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,

Even more on the links page.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico MikeCAdministrator Fri Oct 08 2004 08:54 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico LI Phil   Fri Oct 08 2004 08:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico Terra   Sat Oct 09 2004 03:56 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 05:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico Steve   Sat Oct 09 2004 05:32 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 05:56 AM
. * * RECON? mikeG   Sat Oct 09 2004 06:26 AM
. * * Re: RECON? danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 06:37 AM
. * * Re: RECON? Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 09 2004 06:45 AM
. * * Re: RECON? danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 06:57 AM
. * * Re:Satellites danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 07:04 AM
. * * Re:Satellites Storm Cooper   Sat Oct 09 2004 07:32 AM
. * * Re:Satellites Storm Cooper   Sat Oct 09 2004 07:37 AM
. * * Re:Satellites danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 08:35 AM
. * * Re:Coop was right ! danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 09:04 AM
. * * Re:Satellites danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 07:26 AM
. * * Re: RECON? mikeG   Sat Oct 09 2004 06:56 AM
. * * recon on the way! Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 09 2004 05:41 AM
. * * Thoughts from Thomas WXMAN RICHIE   Sat Oct 09 2004 12:49 AM
. * * Re: Thoughts from Thomas GuppieGrouper   Sat Oct 09 2004 01:02 AM
. * * Re: Concerns danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 01:26 AM
. * * Re: Concerns recmod   Sat Oct 09 2004 01:36 AM
. * * Re: Concerns GuppieGrouper   Sat Oct 09 2004 01:45 AM
. * * Re: Concerns RevUp   Sat Oct 09 2004 02:02 AM
. * * Re: Concerns Guest   Sat Oct 09 2004 02:41 AM
. * * More Thomas WXMAN RICHIE   Sat Oct 09 2004 02:53 AM
. * * Re: More Thomas HCW   Sat Oct 09 2004 03:30 AM
. * * :( SirCane   Sat Oct 09 2004 04:27 AM
. * * Re: :( danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 04:59 AM
. * * 11PM Advisory danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 03:23 AM
. * * Re: More Thomas Prospero   Sat Oct 09 2004 03:19 AM
. * * Re: More Thomas RedingtonBeachGuy   Sat Oct 09 2004 09:52 AM
. * * Re: More Thomas John C   Sat Oct 09 2004 10:16 AM
. * * Re: More Thomas Steve   Sat Oct 09 2004 10:43 AM
. * * Re: More Thomas James88   Sat Oct 09 2004 11:12 AM
. * * Nicole??? LadyStorm   Sat Oct 09 2004 10:46 AM
. * * Re: Concerns HumanCookie   Sat Oct 09 2004 02:11 AM
. * * Re: Concerns danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 02:25 AM
. * * 1030PM Tropical WX Outlook danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 02:35 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico lilyv   Fri Oct 08 2004 09:01 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico Kimberley Clark   Fri Oct 08 2004 09:07 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico lilyv   Fri Oct 08 2004 09:54 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico Steveunplugged   Fri Oct 08 2004 09:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico LI Phil   Fri Oct 08 2004 09:19 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico GuppieGrouper   Fri Oct 08 2004 10:04 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico leetdan   Fri Oct 08 2004 10:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico MikeCAdministrator   Fri Oct 08 2004 10:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico LI Phil   Fri Oct 08 2004 09:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico Kimberley Clark   Fri Oct 08 2004 09:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico Soutehrn4sure   Fri Oct 08 2004 10:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico LI Phil   Fri Oct 08 2004 11:00 PM
. * * recon Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 09 2004 12:02 AM
. * * Re: recon anony   Sat Oct 09 2004 12:52 PM
. * * Re: recon Storm Cooper   Sat Oct 09 2004 01:49 PM
. * * Re: recon GuppieGrouper   Sat Oct 09 2004 12:42 AM
. * * Re: recon RevUp   Sat Oct 09 2004 01:28 AM

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