3 AM Update Wilma showing a slight, 1mb drop in pressure, between 1 and 3 AM EDT. Minor increase in her wind speed. Biggest change has been in her heading. Now estimated to be near NNW.
8PM Update Wilma has winds sustained around 150MPH, and is still moving northwest at 8. It appears that a landfall in the Yucatan Peninsula near Cozumel is likely, bringing near high end category 4 conditions to the resort area that has already been hit by Emily earlier this year. It is still possible for Wilma to just graze the Yucatan, the overnight hours will tell this story.
The GFDL model suggests it may slow or stall out over the Yucatan bringing prolonged bad conditions to the Cozumel and Cancun areas. This would be better for Florida (relatively a cat 2 or 3 hurricane still would likely approach and cause a lot of havoc), but very very bad for those towns. Time will tell here, watching the Cancun Radar for movement may be an extended exercise, if the radar holds. This may slow the eventual Florida impact by another day or two into Monday or even Tuesday if this verifies.
It may start to head more toward the north northwest as well, and miss the Yucatan to the east, this is what we are watching for tonight.
Original Update Hurricane Wilma is moving Northwest, still a Category 4 hurricane this afternoon. This update is mainly to clear the responses and to start a new discussion.
However, many are asking where in Florida Wilma will strike, meteorologist Ed Dunham in the met blog below talks about it some, but I am holding off until Wilma enters the Gulf.
The National Hurricane Center's forecast is pretty solid, but the cone is large for Florida. Anywhere along the western coast of Florida still needs to watch this system.
Wilma looks to be poised to restrenghten a bit tonight. If it does, then it has a shot at regaining Category 5 status for a bit, before getting close to the Yucatan and weakening once again. The timeline is still late Sunday for the system to impact Florida.
Web based Video and Audio Many websites require realplayer for video and audio, you can get real player here or an alternative real media player here (Ie WinXp64)
Jim Williams, from Hurricane City and West Palm Beach, will likely be doing his live audio show as Wilma approaches on hurricanecity. Listen here He usually starts at 8PM eastern and runs until the 11PM advisory comes out.
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