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Sara's remnants are now in the Gulf, but are not expected to reorganize much. Elsewhere, no tropical development is anticipated.
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News Talkback >> 2004 News Talkbacks

MikeCAdministrator
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Loc: Orlando, FL
Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico
      Fri Oct 08 2004 04:54 PM

The fourteenth tropical depression has skipped striaght to Tropical Storm Matthew has formed now in the western Gulf of mexico after a few week break following Jeanne and Lisa.

This is the 13th tropical storm, however, and it's moving eastward right now, expected to move slightly more northeastward in a few days.

The current forecast track has it entering land near Panama City Beach, FL in the Florida Panhandle. This could change however. You folks don't need this after Ivan, so I really hope it changes. And likely it will, the confidence in that track is very very low.

The good news however, is that there is a good deal of shear in the gulf, and a baroclinic low trying to form. If matthew tries to move north too soon, that will tear it up. However if it makes its way more eastward it will have a little bit more time to strengthen. But I think conditions in the Gulf right now are likely to keep it just a tropical storm.

No watches or warnings are up currently.



Event Related Links
Hurricane Local Statements for Weather Offices in:
All Current Hurricane Local Statements
Matthew Models -- This image animated over time
Matthew Sphagehtti Model from BoatUS/Hurricane Alley
Matthew Plots from Weather Underground
Matthew Satelllite Image with track/radar Overlays

Matthew Radar Image

Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations):
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Tampa Bay
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General Links
Skeetobite's storm track maps

Current Aircraft Recon Info (Decoded) thanks Londovir
Other Recon Info

Mount st. Helens Volcanocam animation
NRL Monterey Marine Meteorology Division Forecast Track of Active Systems (Good Forecast Track Graphic and Satellite Photos)

Check the Storm Forum from time to time for comments on any new developing system.

Follow worldwide SST evolution here:

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NASA GHCC Interactive Satellite images at:

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LSU Sat images

RAMSDIS Satellite Images (high speed)

Some forecast models:
NGM, AVN, MRF, ETA ECMWF
AVN, CMC,GFDL, JMA,NOGAPS,UKMET

DoD Weather Models (NOGAPS, AVN, MRF)
Multi-model plots from Mid-Atlantic Weather
Other commentary at Independentwx.com, Robert Lightbown/Crown Weather Tropical Update Accuweather's Joe Bastardi (now subcriber only unfortunately), Hurricane Alley North Atlantic Page, Hurricanetrack.com (Mark Sudduth), HurricaneVille, Cyclomax (Rich B.), Hurricane City , mpittweather , WXRisk, Gary Gray's Millennium Weather, storm2k, Barometer Bob's Hurricane Hollow, Snonut,

Even more on the links page.

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Entire topic
Subject Posted by Posted on
* Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico MikeCAdministrator Fri Oct 08 2004 04:54 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico LI Phil   Fri Oct 08 2004 04:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico Terra   Fri Oct 08 2004 11:56 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico Ed DunhamAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 01:02 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico Steve   Sat Oct 09 2004 01:32 AM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 01:56 AM
. * * RECON? mikeG   Sat Oct 09 2004 02:26 AM
. * * Re: RECON? danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 02:37 AM
. * * Re: RECON? Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 09 2004 02:45 AM
. * * Re: RECON? danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 02:57 AM
. * * Re:Satellites danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 03:04 AM
. * * Re:Satellites Storm Cooper   Sat Oct 09 2004 03:32 AM
. * * Re:Satellites Storm Cooper   Sat Oct 09 2004 03:37 AM
. * * Re:Satellites danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 04:35 AM
. * * Re:Coop was right ! danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 05:04 AM
. * * Re:Satellites danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 03:26 AM
. * * Re: RECON? mikeG   Sat Oct 09 2004 02:56 AM
. * * recon on the way! Storm Hunter   Sat Oct 09 2004 01:41 AM
. * * Thoughts from Thomas WXMAN RICHIE   Fri Oct 08 2004 08:49 PM
. * * Re: Thoughts from Thomas GuppieGrouper   Fri Oct 08 2004 09:02 PM
. * * Re: Concerns danielwAdministrator   Fri Oct 08 2004 09:26 PM
. * * Re: Concerns recmod   Fri Oct 08 2004 09:36 PM
. * * Re: Concerns GuppieGrouper   Fri Oct 08 2004 09:45 PM
. * * Re: Concerns RevUp   Fri Oct 08 2004 10:02 PM
. * * Re: Concerns Guest   Fri Oct 08 2004 10:41 PM
. * * More Thomas WXMAN RICHIE   Fri Oct 08 2004 10:53 PM
. * * Re: More Thomas HCW   Fri Oct 08 2004 11:30 PM
. * * :( SirCane   Sat Oct 09 2004 12:27 AM
. * * Re: :( danielwAdministrator   Sat Oct 09 2004 12:59 AM
. * * 11PM Advisory danielwAdministrator   Fri Oct 08 2004 11:23 PM
. * * Re: More Thomas Prospero   Fri Oct 08 2004 11:19 PM
. * * Re: More Thomas RedingtonBeachGuy   Sat Oct 09 2004 05:52 AM
. * * Re: More Thomas John C   Sat Oct 09 2004 06:16 AM
. * * Re: More Thomas Steve   Sat Oct 09 2004 06:43 AM
. * * Re: More Thomas James88   Sat Oct 09 2004 07:12 AM
. * * Nicole??? LadyStorm   Sat Oct 09 2004 06:46 AM
. * * Re: Concerns HumanCookie   Fri Oct 08 2004 10:11 PM
. * * Re: Concerns danielwAdministrator   Fri Oct 08 2004 10:25 PM
. * * 1030PM Tropical WX Outlook danielwAdministrator   Fri Oct 08 2004 10:35 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico lilyv   Fri Oct 08 2004 05:01 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico Kimberley Clark   Fri Oct 08 2004 05:07 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico lilyv   Fri Oct 08 2004 05:54 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico Steveunplugged   Fri Oct 08 2004 05:14 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico LI Phil   Fri Oct 08 2004 05:19 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico GuppieGrouper   Fri Oct 08 2004 06:04 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico leetdan   Fri Oct 08 2004 06:18 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico MikeCAdministrator   Fri Oct 08 2004 06:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico LI Phil   Fri Oct 08 2004 05:13 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico Kimberley Clark   Fri Oct 08 2004 05:17 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico Soutehrn4sure   Fri Oct 08 2004 06:51 PM
. * * Re: Tropical Storm Matthew Forms in Western Gulf of Mexico LI Phil   Fri Oct 08 2004 07:00 PM
. * * recon Storm Hunter   Fri Oct 08 2004 08:02 PM
. * * Re: recon anony   Sat Oct 09 2004 08:52 AM
. * * Re: recon Storm Cooper   Sat Oct 09 2004 09:49 AM
. * * Re: recon GuppieGrouper   Fri Oct 08 2004 08:42 PM
. * * Re: recon RevUp   Fri Oct 08 2004 09:28 PM

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