Hurricane Katrina Landfalls near the Dade/Broward County Line

11PM
Katrina remains a hurricane, and is now over the Florida Everglades. The current forecast track takes it a little more toward the west and southwest and out into the gulf early tomorrow morning, and then eventually turning north and toward the Florida pnahandle. The cone of error puts it close to the west coast as well, so some rain may be felt for the next few days.

(We and Skeetobite are looking for feedback on maps, let us know here)

It's moved a bit quicker across the state that the earlier forecasts suggested, and further south and west. This will enable the storm to be out over the Gulf quicker, and although the Everglades can't sustain a storm, it can keep it from weakening as rapidly as it would over dry land. That seems to be happening with Katrina. If the core holds together until it returns into the Gulf it could reach major hurricane status when it moves back over the water. In fact, even some of the usually more conservative models bring it to major hurricane status when it is back into the Gulf.

Katrina has been one of the more interesting storms to track in quite a while, and probably will remain so over the next few days as attention turns toward the Panhandle and northern Gulf coast.

See more detailed discussions below in the Blogs from Clark, etc.

9PM Update
Katrina remains a hurricane at 9PM, it's center is very close to the National Hurricane Center office, and continues on it's west to west southwest motion.

Power is out across the area, including in Metro Miami.

8PM Update
Strong Tropical Storm/Minimal Hurricane Conditions were felt along the landfall area, including a 90mph wind recording in Miami. One confirmed fatality has occurred on the roads of the area with another unconfirmed fatality being reported so far. The storm is enough inland to start weakening now, and it's showing some signs of that.

Beyond tonight, it may slide a bit more west southwest and emerge back in the Gulf around Naples. After that, it has a pretty good shot at restrengthening and probably bending back toward the Panhandle or Northwestern Florida. The current track would suggest near Apalachicola. It will take some time for Katrina to cross the state. Sometime late tomorrow. We'll be watching it all night. Let us know if you are in the affected areas in the Situation Report topic.

7PM Update
Hurricane Katrina has made official landfall between North Miami Beach and Hallendale as an 80MPH Category 1 hurricane.
11PM Update

6PM Update

This radar image live

The center of Katrina is still just offshore, and amazingly seems to be drifting a bit to the south or stalling, still increasing in strength. This is very interesting situation developing here. Wobbles you usually ignore, but when the center is within 20 miles of land, it's a bit different.

It appears to still be strengthening and slowing even more.

More updates to come soon.

Jim Williams, from Hurricane City and West Palm Beach, will be doing his live audio show likely tomorrow as Rita approaches on hurricanecity. Listen here

Ross from Suncam.tv is streaming video and webcams from the landfall area

Marc Sudduth will likely also be in the area see his live streaming video and audio here

Reply and let us know of other links.

Event Related Links
General Links
Report Katrina conditions in your area/read other's reports at this link (registration not required).

StormCarib hurricane reports from observers in the Islands
Caribbean Island Weather Reports
Color Sat of Gulf
RAMSDIS high speed visible Floater of Storms

Emergency Management/County info
Broward County Emergency Management
Palm Beach County emergency managment
Miami-Dade County Emergency Management
State of Florida Division of Emergency Management/floridadisaster.org

Katrina

Google Map plot of Katrina

Visible Floater Satellite of Katrina
Water Vapor Floater of Katrina
Visible Satellite Floater of Katrina with storm track overlays
Animated model plots of Katrina
Spaghetti Model Plot of Katrina from Colorado State
Bahamas Radar

Florida Keys Long Range Radar Loop
Miami, FL Long Range Radar
Melbourne, FL Long Range Radar

Forecast Discussions for (Show All Locations):
Miami, Key West, Melbourne

Invest 97L

NRL-Monterey Satellite Data on 97L
METEOSAT-8 imagery over Europe & Africa from the Univ. of Wisconsin
Animated model plots of 97L

Edited by MikeC (Sun Sep 18 2005 11:33 PM)

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