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TD#2 forming off the coast of North Carolina, moving away, advisories to begin at 11AM EDT.
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 228 (Zeta) , Major: 291 (Laura) Florida - Any: 978 (Michael) Major: 978 (Michael)
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Latest CFHC News
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June Gulf System

Posted: 10:27 AM 12 June 2021 | | Add Comment

10AM EDT 14 June Update
The National Hurricane Center will initiate advisories on Tropical Depression Two, located offshore of the coast of North Carolina and moving away from the United States, at 1100 AM EDT

8AM EDT June 14 2021 Update
3 Areas in June is unusual, however, there is Invest 93L off the Carolina coast that ramped up quickly overnight and now has a 70% chance to develop as it it moves away from land. It seems likely to develop into a short lived subtropical or tropical System, and could become Bill later today.

92L, the area in the Bay of Campeche, has a 60% chance to develop over the next 5 days, and has the potential to organize and cause a large rain event in the north Gulf coast, particularly east of where the center would eventually cross.

The area in the far east Atlantic, is much less likely to develop, but the potential is still there, at 20% over the next 5 days.

Original Update

The area in the Bay of Campeche along the southwestern Gulf of Mexico now has a 40% chance to develop over the next 5 days, and a 10% chance within the next 48 hours. It's likely going to be mostly a rain event. With the overall pattern and the winds at higher levels in the atmosphere, if anything develops, it likely would be a sheared system with most of rain and convection to right of the center. Still worth watching for those along the northern Gulf coast for late this coming week into next weekend.

For those in Mexico, it will bring a lot of rain as it tries to consolidate.

Currently there is no invest area for this system. The forecast lounge is discussing the longer range models on it.

Tropical Depression Two Event Related Links

Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of of TD2 - New for 2018


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of TD2


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SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


float2latest.gif
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of TD2 (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of TD2 (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of TD2

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for TD2
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on TD2 -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View


Invest 92L Event Related Links

Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of of 92L - New for 2018


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of 92L


stormplotthumb_3.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


float3latest.gif
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 92L (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 92L (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of 92L

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 92L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 92L -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View


North Gulf Links North Gulf/Southern Mississippi Valley Composite Radar Loop (Latest Static) East to West:

Mobile, AL Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

New Orleans, LA Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Lake Charles, LA Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Houston/Galveston, TX Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Gulf of Mexico Satellite Imagery

Area Forecast Discussions: Mississippi/Alabama/Pensacola - New Orleans, LA - Lake Charles, LA - Houston/Galveston, TX

Mid-Atlantic/Carolina Links Southeast Composite Radar Loop (Latest Static)

Charleston, SC Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Wilmington, NC Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Morehead City, NC Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Norfolk/Wakefield, VA Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Area Forecast Discussions: Charleston, SC - Wilmington, NC - Morehead City, NC - Norfolk/Virginia Beach/Hampton Roads, VA

Power Outage Maps: South Carolina Power Outage Map North Carolina Power Outage Map Virginia Power Outage Map

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The 2021 Atlantic Hurricane Season Starts Now

Posted: 07:30 AM 01 June 2021 | | Add Comment

Today marks the first day of the 2021 Atlantic Hurricane season, which has already had one short lived storm form near Bermuda, Ana.

Last year was most memorable for Hurricane Laura, which slammed into Southwestern Louisiana.

Once again we’ll be watching out in the Atlantic, and Hawaii if any storms threaten there.

The National Hurricane Center actually started their Daily tropical weather outlooks on May 15th, to match the East Pacific, even though the official start of the season is today.

The names for 2021 are the following:
Ana, Bill, Claudette, Danny, Elsa, Fred, Grace, Henri, Ida, Julian, Kate, Larry, Mindy, Nicholas, Odette, Peter, Rose, Sam, Teresa, Victor, Wanda
Ana Henri Odette
Bill Ida Peter
Claudette Julian Rose
Danny Kate
Sam
Elsa Larry
Teresa
Fred Mindy Victor
Grace Nicholas Wanda


Nothing is currently going on or being watched in the Atlantic, but long range signals indicate to watch the western Caribbean late next week. Blanca in the East Pacific is moving west away from any land.

Flhurricane is updating here, on facebook, and twitter, we typically only update when there is something to talk about.

Forecast lounge forums is where we'll discuss long range forecasts, and models, since they are typically for genera; guidence and not something to rely on. Front page info is typically official or what's being observed at the moment.

Sales Tax Holiday:

This year Florida has a Hurricane Supply Sales Tax Holiday running from Friday, May 28 and extends through Sunday, June 6.

This Includes reusable ice packs $10 or less.

$40 or less flashlights, lanterns, candles.

$50 or less: Any gas or diesel fuel container, including LP gas and kerosene containers., General Use Batteries

$60 or less: Portable Power Banks, including rechargeable batteries, excluding automobile and boat
Coolers and ice chests (food-storage; nonelectrical)

$100 or less: tarps, Visqueen, plastic sheeting, plastic drop cloths, and other flexible waterproof sheeting
Ground anchor systems, Tie-down kits, Bungee cords, Ratchet straps, Radios (powered by battery, solar, or hand-crank)
Two-way, Weather band

and Portable Generators Selling for $750 or less.

Mark Sudduth from hurricanetrack has done a pre season video https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Dm50-rtlN3s


Article Icon

2021 Season Starts June 1st

Posted: 12:33 AM 01 January 2021 | 3 Comments | Add Comment | Newest: 06:08 PM 16-May EDT

2:30AM CT Update 21 May 2021
Six of the last nine years have seen preseason named cyclones (tropical and/or subtropical) form in the Atlantic basin, and 2021 may be no exception. As of Friday May 21, we are now closely monitoring two features increasingly looking to develop into numbered cyclones, with one (Invest 91L) likely approaching the Texas coast later today, and the other (90L) already prompting the Bermuda Weather Service to issue a Tropical Storm Watch
Quote:

Tropical Storm Watch
Updated: 11:30 pm Thursday, May 20, 2021
A potential tropical or subtropical disturbance is developing approximately 600 nm east-northeast of Bermuda, but has not formed yet. A Tropical Storm Watch remains in effect to cover the potential for sustained winds reaching 35 knots and seas exceeding 12 feet offshore on Friday. For more detail, please review the Marine Forecast. Once formal advisories begin, BWS will start issuing Tropical Update Bulletins with more details about track and intensity.




Invest 91L does not appear to have enough time over water given moderate shear to develop into a hurricane, but a mid-range Tropical Storm might not be out of the question. Regardless of development, blustery showers and thunderstorms starting later today and heading into the weekend could result in more flooding for parts of Texas and Louisiana.
-Ciel

Original Post
After the record number of named systems in 2020, This next year will likely also be active, but probably not as much as 2020.

We'll be partnering more with Mark Sudduth and Hurricanetrack.com over the new year, but all the old data and image recordings will remain here. The Atlantic hurricane Season starts on June 1st, and we'll be watching both here, and our twitter and facebook feeds.


Subtropical Storm Ana Event Related Links

Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of of Ana - New for 2018


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of Ana


stormplotthumb_1.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


float1latest.gif
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of Ana (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of Ana (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of Ana

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for Ana
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on Ana -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View


Invest 91L Event Related Links

Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of of 91L - New for 2018


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of 91L


stormplotthumb_2.gif

SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


float2latest.gif
Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 91L (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 91L (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of 91L

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 91L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 91L -- RAMMB Info
COD Atlantic Satellite View


Texas Gulf Coast Links Texas/South Plains Valley Composite Radar Loop (Latest Static) East to West:

Houston/Galveston, TX Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Corpus Christi, TX Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Brownsville, TX Radar Long Range Radar Loop (Latest Static) Base (Static) 1 HR Rainfall (Static) Storm Total Rainfall (Static)

Gulf of Mexico Satellite Imagery

Area Forecast Discussions: Houston/Galveston, TX - Corpus Christi, TX - Browsnville/South Padre Island, TX

35.0N 73.7W
Wind: 35MPH
Pres: 1006mb
Moving:
Ne at 21 mph
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