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The Atlantic is mostly quiet
Days since last H. Landfall - US: Any 8 (Michael) , Major: 8 (Michael) Florida - Any: 8 (Michael) Major: 8 (Michael)
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The Atlantic after Michael

Posted: 04:49 PM 14 October 2018 | | Add Comment

Hurricane Michael will be one remembered for years to come for this decade for Florida. Although Irma, Matthew and Hermine (The other 3 hurricanes, and only ones from the decade) will be remembered, the raw violent nature of Michael will put that at the top, along with its impacts well inland. Post analysis may bring it up to Category 5 after all is said and done. Callaway, Tyndall, Mexico Beach, Cape San Blas and Panama City within Gulf and Bay counties are forever changed, as many areas around ti were also.

Our twitter feed is full of examples and response to it.

Beyond that Leslie made landfall in Portugal and brought damage to there, very unexpectedly.


Two low-chance areas are being watched, a 20% area in the West Caribbean (94L) and another area in the Central Atlantic with 10%. Neither have much model support, but there is a possibility for one or two more systems this season before all is said and done.

94L Event Related Links

Flhurricane Satellite Floater Animation of of 94L - New for 2018


Animated Skeetobite Model Plot of 94L


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SFWMD Model Plot (Animated Model Plot) SFWMD Hurricane Page


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Clark Evans Track Model Plot of 94L (Animated!) Model Plots in Google Earth - In Google Maps
Clark Evans Intensity Model Plot of 94L (Animated!)

Clark Evans Track Plot of 94L

Other Model Charts from Clark

Clark Evans Top 10 Analog Storms for 94L
More model runs on from RAL/Jonathan Vigh's page
NRL Info on 94L -- RAMMB Info

Floater Satellite Images: Visible (Loop), IR (Loop), WV (Loop), Dvorak (Loop), AVN (Loop), RGB (Loop), Rainbow (Loop), Funktop (Loop), RB Top Loop)

Facebook Update Posted
02:45 pm 15-Oct-2018 EDT

Mark Sudduth Oct 15 Update (First since Michael)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Vq79BwjNQlQ

Facebook Update Posted
01:07 pm 13-Oct-2018 EDT

Hurricane Leslie making a final run of it today - all the way to Portugal- while beginning to undergo merger with a front and extra-tropical transition. Leslie, it's been real. And a really long time reading your advisories..

Facebook Update Posted
11:11 pm 11-Oct-2018 EDT

From Mark Sudduth/Hurricane track. Unmanned gopro recording of Mexico beach across the street from the (now former) Toucan's- Mexico Beach, Florida during the height of the storm

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=f3ofAJSqpLM

Facebook Update Posted
10:41 pm 11-Oct-2018 EDT

https://storms.ngs.noaa.gov/storms/michael/index.html#17/29.76508/-85.40288
After Michael satellite photos. One of the most striking things is new cuts in St. Joseph's Peninsula (now an island) along Cape San Blas rd.

Facebook Update Posted
08:05 pm 11-Oct-2018 EDT

So far About 1.2 Million power outages reported from Michael

Facebook Update Posted
03:52 pm 11-Oct-2018 EDT

Michael's inland journey continues. Trees down all along its path From FL, GA, SC, NC, well into Virginia as well as Flash Flooding in NC and as far north as Roanoke, VA reported.

Facebook Update Posted
08:14 am 11-Oct-2018 EDT

Power outage map as of 8AM
more detail at https://poweroutage.us/

Facebook Update Posted
08:17 pm 10-Oct-2018 EDT

Reports from some of those who were there in Panama City. Including those who have went to multiple large hurricanes. The most violent system they have been in, and the whole city looks like a nuke was dropped on it and the damage is very widespread. Particularly in Panama City Proper and points east. Some of the cell networks are not operating or are extremely spotty.

Facebook Update Posted
03:27 pm 10-Oct-2018 EDT

Mexico Beach, Fl homes under water - you can really make out both the surge and wind damage in this https://twitter.com/WFLAJosh/status/1050098823194963968

Facebook Update Posted
01:44 pm 10-Oct-2018 EDT

Hurricane Michael makes landfall at Mexico City Beach, FL as a cat 4 with 155mph winds and 919mb of pressure. 3rd strongest US Landfall on record.

Facebook Update Posted
11:45 am 10-Oct-2018 EDT

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Extreme Wind Warning
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
1111 AM EDT WED OCT 10 2018

The National Weather Service in Tallahassee has issued a

* Extreme Wind Warning for...
Gulf County in the Panhandle of Florida...
Southern Bay County in the Panhandle of Florida...
Southwestern Franklin County in Big Bend of Florida...

* Until 215 PM EDT/115 PM CDT/.

* At 1109 AM EDT/1009 AM CDT/, National Weather Service Doppler
radar indicated extreme winds in excess of 130 mph, associated
with the eyewall of Hurricane Michael, were moving onshore. THIS
IS AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING SITUATION!

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Treat these imminent extreme winds as if a tornado
was approaching and move immediately to the safe room in your
shelter. Take action now to protect your life!

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